Result
1:2
02/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Baltazar Y. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 37', Santos C. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Munoz R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Munoz R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 48', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 58', Calderon C. 🟨,
- 63', Matta A. ↓, Martir A. ↑,
- 63', Williams J. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 65', Hernandez C. ↓, Matos Y. ↑,
- 67', de Leon I. ↓, Macal E. ↑,
- 70', 🟨,
- 70', David A. 🟨,
- 70', David A. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 70', Martinez J. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
- 80', Nunez K. ↓, Castillo K. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Cabeza A. ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Mejia C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Achuapa 17.5% | Draw 25% | Municipal 57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.29 ↑ (4.46) |
3.69 ↑ (3.28) |
1.61 ↓ (1.8) |
8.3% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Achuapa (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Achuapa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 0.
- Achuapa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Municipal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Achuapa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Municipal is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Municipal will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Achuapa won against Municipal?
Deportivo Achuapa has won 1 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Municipal won against Deportivo Achuapa?
Municipal has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal were as follows:
14.02.2026
Municipal
-
Deportivo Achuapa
1:1
18.12.2025
Municipal
-
Deportivo Achuapa
3:0
14.12.2025
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Municipal
1:1
27.09.2025
Municipal
-
Deportivo Achuapa
3:0
20.07.2025
Deportivo Achuapa
-
Municipal
2:2
Latest results of Deportivo Achuapa
Latest results of Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Comunicaciones | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 32 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Antigua | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Municipal | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Marquense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:30 | -10 | 25 |
| 10 | Aurora F.C | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | Deportivo Achuapa | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14:24 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )