Result
1:1
13/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 20
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (451/543) | 73% (201/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (451/543) | 73% (201/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/65) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (53/97) | 59% (54/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', Mancinelli L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 65', Chacon J. ↓, Maccari M. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 1, Leon J. ⚽, Vega E. (A),
- 72', Lopez A. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 80', Leon J. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 1, Leguizamon N. ⚽,
- 88', Reyes M. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 90+1', Guevara E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Perez Tica J. ↓, Cagua G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
55.4% | Draw
26.6% | Delfín
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.71) |
3.47 ↓
(3.48) |
5.14 ↑
(4.84) |
8.3%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Cuenca will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 0.
- Deportivo Cuenca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Delfín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Delfín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Deportivo Cuenca will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Delfín?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Delfín has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín were as follows:
15.03.2025
Delfín
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:0
14.09.2024
Delfín
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:0
31.03.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Delfín
0:0
06.03.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Delfín
2:5
13.11.2023
Delfín
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Macara | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
