Result
27/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (240/298) | 65% (124/191) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (240/298) | 65% (124/191) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (30/47) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (63/94) | 54% (42/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Charcopa J. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 57', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 60', Davila E. 🟨,
- 69', Chacon J. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 70', Lopez A. ↓, Gustavino L. ↑,
- 70', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
- 73', Dos Santos J. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 74', Orejuela C. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
- 76', Ordonez J. 🟨,
- 77', Venezia A. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
- 77', Estupinan L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 80', Quintero D. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
- 90+10', Peralta K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
53.2% | Draw
26.4% | Mushuc Runa
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mushuc Runa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cuenca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mushuc Runa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.12) |
3.5 ↑
(3.31) |
4.57 ↑
(3.39) |
7.8%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Mushuc Runa (votes: 3 - 75%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Cuenca will win
(43 of 46 users predict this - 93.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.35% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Cuenca will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 2.
- Deportivo Cuenca is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mushuc Runa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Deportivo Cuenca will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Mushuc Runa?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
01.03.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:1
19.10.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:1
26.04.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Mushuc Runa
5:0
21.10.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:1
12.05.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Mushuc Runa
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
