Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca).

Liga Pro - Round 18
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.79
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
1	3
Passes
81% (240/298)	65% (124/191)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.13	0.00
Total shots
11	7
Shots on target
3	0
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
13	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
81% (240/298)	65% (124/191)
Long passes
64% (30/47)	42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
67% (63/94)	54% (42/78)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.60
Throw-ins
16	20
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
69% (9/13)	87% (13/15)
Duels won
52	46
Clearances
31	19
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.00	1.13
Goals prevented
0.00	0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Charcopa J. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
57', Gomez A. 🟨,
60', Davila E. 🟨,
69', Chacon J. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
70', Lopez A. ↓, Gustavino L. ↑,
70', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
73', Dos Santos J. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
74', Orejuela C. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
76', Ordonez J. 🟨,
77', Venezia A. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
77', Estupinan L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
80', Quintero D. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
90+10', Peralta K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Deportivo Cuenca
53.2%

Draw
26.4%

Mushuc Runa
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mushuc Runa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cuenca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mushuc Runa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.12)	3.5 ↑ (3.31)	4.57 ↑ (3.39)	7.8% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Mushuc Runa (votes: 3 - 75%).

Users Predictions: Deportivo Cuenca will win (43 of 46 users predict this - 93.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.35% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Cuenca will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 2.
Deportivo Cuenca is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mushuc Runa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is a strong favorite.
We predict that Deportivo Cuenca will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Mushuc Runa?

Deportivo Cuenca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Deportivo Cuenca?

Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa were as follows:

01.03.2025 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Cuenca 3:1

19.10.2024 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Cuenca 1:1

26.04.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa 5:0

21.10.2023 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Cuenca 1:1

12.05.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa 3:0

Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca

22.06.2025 SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca 1:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - El Nacional 4:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:1 ✺

23.05.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca 0:0 ✺

16.05.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Mushuc Runa

22.06.2025 Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:5 ✺

15.06.2025 Delfín - Mushuc Runa 3:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Mushuc Runa - El Nacional 2:3 ✺

28.05.2025 Palestino - Mushuc Runa 0:2 ✺

23.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 2:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	23	14	7	2	43:19	24	49
2	Barcelona SC	23	12	5	6	35:26	9	41
3	LDU Quito	22	11	7	4	38:21	17	40
4	Orense	23	11	4	8	25:26	-1	37
5	Aucas	22	10	5	7	30:27	3	35
6	Dep. Cuenca	23	10	5	8	27:24	3	35
7	Libertad	22	9	7	6	33:28	5	34
8	U. Catolica	22	8	7	7	38:29	9	31
9	Emelec	22	7	7	8	20:26	-6	28
10	Delfin	22	6	8	8	21:31	-10	26
11	EL Nacional	23	6	7	10	26:33	-7	25
12	Vinotinto	22	6	5	11	26:30	-4	23
13	Macara	23	5	8	10	21:26	-5	23
14	Manta	22	5	8	9	29:38	-9	23
15	Tecnico U	22	4	7	11	20:33	-13	19
16	Mushuc Runa	22	4	5	13	24:39	-15	17

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )