Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso
Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.75
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
81% (360/443)68% (181/265)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.600.13
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
81% (360/443)68% (181/265)
Long passes
48% (32/66)35% (22/62)
Passes in final third
64% (108/168)46% (40/87)
Crosses
21% (3/14)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.57
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
1111
Tackles
80% (8/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4362
Clearances
3125
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.132.60
Goals prevented
0.130.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Vasquez A. ,
  • 29', Garcia C. 🟨,
  • 31', Garcia C. , Paucar E. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Aguirre J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gariglio I. , Moreno X. ,
  • 64', Palacios B. , Balanta G. ,
  • 67', Celi Y. 🟨,
  • 75', Bazan J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 84', Celi Y. , Salazar A. ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Quintero J. (Pen),
  • 90', Vasquez A. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 90', Ramirez E. , Lujan J. ,
  • 90+4', Campos D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Serra P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
32.7%
Draw
29.4%
Deportivo Garcilaso
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 29.4% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 30.2% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.72)
    3.21
    (3.2)
    2.44
    (2.62)
    7.2%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Deportivo Garcilaso might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Gomez N. (Red Card) Naya E. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Cajamarca: Mejia C. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 1:0
    26.01.2024 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    03.09.2023 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0
    16.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 2:2
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Cusco1684429:191028
    6Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    8Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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