Result
 
                    0:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/09/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
 
                                                - Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.75 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 42% | 58% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 18 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (237/296) | 83% (359/432) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.75 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.38 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 18 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 9 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 8 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 17 | 12 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (237/296) | 83% (359/432) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 50% (32/64) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 56% (44/78) | 62% (71/114) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 14% (2/14) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.59 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 14 | 14 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 64% (7/11) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 31 | 41 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 23 | 27 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 19 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.74 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.74 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 26', Arancibia F. ↓, Bazan J. ↑, 
 - 33', Campos D. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 50', Canales E. 🟨, 
 - 55', Oncoy F. 🟨, 
 - 62', Salazar A. 🟨, 
 - 67', Gomez N. ↓, Celi Y. ↑, 
 - 67', Naya E. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑, 
 - 70', Ramirez E. ↓, Balanta G. ↑, 
 - 77', Canales E. ↓, Portales J. ↑, 
 - 78', Sandoval K. ↓, Moreno X. ↑, 
 - 85', Vasquez A. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑, 
 - 86', Oncoy F. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑, 
 - 90', Quintero J. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑, 
 - 90+1', Vega J. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Deportivo Garcilaso  63.8% | Draw  21.8% | Cajamarca  14.4% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.47 ↓ (1.49) | 
			   4.31 ↑ (4.1) | 
			   6.41 ↑ (5.2) | 
			   6.7% (10.7%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 18).
 - Deportivo Garcilaso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
 - Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.
 - There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Cajamarca?
                    
                    
                        
                            Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cajamarca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca were as follows:
                                                        
                                03.05.2025 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.07.2024 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.01.2024 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.09.2023 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.04.2023 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cajamarca                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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