Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.45 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (360/443) | 68% (181/265) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.45 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.60 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
32 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
81% (360/443) | 68% (181/265) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (32/66) | 35% (22/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (108/168) | 46% (40/87) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (3/14) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.92 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 77% (10/13) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 62 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.13 | 2.60 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.13 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Vasquez A. ⚽,
- 29', Garcia C. 🟨,
- 31', Garcia C. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 1, Aguirre J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gariglio I. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 64', Palacios B. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 67', Celi Y. 🟨,
- 75', Bazan J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 84', Celi Y. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Quintero J. (Pen),
- 90', Vasquez A. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 90', Ramirez E. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
- 90+4', Campos D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Serra P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca 32.7% | Draw 29.4% | Deportivo Garcilaso 37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.85 ↑ (2.72) |
3.21 ↑ (3.2) |
2.44 ↓ (2.62) |
7.2% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Deportivo Garcilaso might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Gomez N.
(Red Card)
Naya E.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cajamarca: Mejia C.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Cajamarca?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
12.07.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cajamarca
1:0
26.01.2024
Cajamarca
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
03.09.2023
Cajamarca
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
16.04.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cajamarca
2:2
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
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