Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (360/443) | 68% (181/265) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (360/443) | 68% (181/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/66) | 35% (22/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (108/168) | 46% (40/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Vasquez A. ⚽,
- 29', Garcia C. 🟨,
- 31', Garcia C. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 1, Aguirre J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gariglio I. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 64', Palacios B. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 67', Celi Y. 🟨,
- 75', Bazan J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 84', Celi Y. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Quintero J. (Pen),
- 90', Vasquez A. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 90', Ramirez E. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
- 90+4', Campos D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Serra P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
32.7% | Draw
29.4% | Deportivo Garcilaso
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.72) |
3.21 ↑
(3.2) |
2.44 ↓
(2.62) |
7.2%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Deportivo Garcilaso might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Gomez N.
(Red Card)
Naya E.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cajamarca: Mejia C.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Cajamarca?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
12.07.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cajamarca
1:0
26.01.2024
Cajamarca
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
03.09.2023
Cajamarca
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
16.04.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Cajamarca
2:2
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
