Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cajamarca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
25/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.75
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
80% (237/296)83% (359/432)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.740.38
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
80% (237/296)83% (359/432)
Long passes
47% (28/59)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
56% (44/78)62% (71/114)
Crosses
30% (6/20)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.59
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1410
Tackles
88% (7/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3141
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
1910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.380.74
Goals prevented
0.380.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Arancibia F. , Bazan J. ,
  • 33', Campos D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Canales E. 🟨,
  • 55', Oncoy F. 🟨,
  • 62', Salazar A. 🟨,
  • 67', Gomez N. , Celi Y. ,
  • 67', Naya E. , Sinisterra J. ,
  • 70', Ramirez E. , Balanta G. ,
  • 77', Canales E. , Portales J. ,
  • 78', Sandoval K. , Moreno X. ,
  • 85', Vasquez A. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 86', Oncoy F. , Aguirre J. ,
  • 90', Quintero J. , De la Cruz L. ,
  • 90+1', Vega J. , Villamarin R. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
63.8%
Draw
21.8%
Cajamarca
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 22% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 21.1% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.49)
    4.31
    (4.1)
    6.41
    (5.2)
    6.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Cajamarca (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 18).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:1
    12.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 1:0
    26.01.2024 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    03.09.2023 Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0
    16.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca 2:2
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas972018:10823
    2Alianza Lima962112:5720
    3Cienciano961222:121019
    4U. de Deportes953112:7518
    5Cajamarca942312:11114
    6Cusco941412:10213
    7Juan Pablo II941415:21-613
    8Comerciantes Unidos933313:13012
    9Sporting Cristal932416:13311
    10Alianza Atl92529:8111
    11FBC Melgar932413:13011
    12Deportivo Garcilaso92439:10-110
    13Moquegua93158:15-710
    14AD Tarma92349:12-39
    15Sport Huancayo92259:13-48
    16Sport Boys92258:12-48
    17Grau91445:10-57
    18FC Cajamarca912610:17-75

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