Result
 
                    3:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/07/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
 
                                                - Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.22 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 44% | 56% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 27 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (249/308) | 88% (335/380) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.22 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.70 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 27 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 10 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 11 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 19 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 9 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 19 | 24 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (249/308) | 88% (335/380) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 62% (23/37) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 70% (61/87) | 81% (117/144) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 19% (4/21) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.73 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 8 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 69% (9/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 39 | 35 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 41 | 21 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 11 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.78 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.70 | -1.22 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 22', Lojas J. 🟨, 
 - 33', 1 - 0, Sandoval K. ⚽, Beltran C. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 0)
 - 49', 2 - 0, Sandoval K. ⚽, Erustes P. (A), 
 - 62', Quiroz A. ↓, Santiago G. ↑, 
 - 63', 3 - 0, Naya E. ⚽, Erustes P. (A), 
 - 69', Canales E. 🟨, 
 - 77', Celi Y. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑, 
 - 77', Naya E. ↓, Bazan J. ↑, 
 - 82', Mogollon E. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑, 
 - 87', Paucar E. ↓, Moreno X. ↑, 
 - 87', Sandoval K. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑, 
 - 90+1', Erustes P. ↓, Valer J. F. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Deportivo Garcilaso  47.1% | Draw  28.5% | Los Chankas  24.4% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.98 ↓ (2.04) | 
			   3.29 ↓ (3.31) | 
			   3.79 ↑ (3.71) | 
			   7.4% (6.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
 - Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
 - Los Chankas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - Deportivo Garcilaso will hold a modest advantage in this match.
 - There will not play in Los Chankas: Velarde C.
(Knee Injury)
 - There are questionable in Los Chankas: Quintana A.
(Injury)
Saravia F.
(Injury)
 - In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
 - Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Los Chankas?
                    
                    
                        
                            Deportivo Garcilaso has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
                    
                    
                        
                             Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas were as follows:
                                                        
                                10.02.2025 
                                Los Chankas 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.09.2024 
                                Los Chankas 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.04.2024 
                                Deportivo Garcilaso 
                                - 
                                Los Chankas 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Los Chankas                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )