Deportivo Garcilaso vs Los Chankas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
18/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.22
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1327
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
81% (249/308)88% (335/380)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.70
Total shots
1327
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
511
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
419
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
814
Passes
81% (249/308)88% (335/380)
Long passes
56% (32/57)62% (23/37)
Passes in final third
70% (61/87)81% (117/144)
Crosses
44% (4/9)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.73
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
148
Tackles
86% (12/14)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3935
Clearances
4121
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.701.78
Goals prevented
0.70-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Lojas J. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Sandoval K. , Beltran C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Sandoval K. , Erustes P. (A),
  • 62', Quiroz A. , Santiago G. ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Naya E. , Erustes P. (A),
  • 69', Canales E. 🟨,
  • 77', Celi Y. , Garrafa Tapia I. A. ,
  • 77', Naya E. , Bazan J. ,
  • 82', Mogollon E. , Zamalloa F. ,
  • 87', Paucar E. , Moreno X. ,
  • 87', Sandoval K. , Gallardo J. ,
  • 90+1', Erustes P. , Valer J. F. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
47.1%
Draw
28.5%
Los Chankas
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 28.5% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50% 30.9% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.04)
    3.29
    (3.31)
    3.79
    (3.71)
    7.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Los Chankas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Deportivo Garcilaso will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Los Chankas: Velarde C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Los Chankas: Quintana A. (Injury) Saravia F. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas were as follows:
    10.02.2025 Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:2
    29.09.2024 Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0
    28.04.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas 1:1
    Latest results of Los Chankas
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas972018:10823
    2Alianza Lima962112:5720
    3Cienciano961222:121019
    4U. de Deportes953112:7518
    5Cajamarca942312:11114
    6Cusco941412:10213
    7Juan Pablo II941415:21-613
    8Comerciantes Unidos933313:13012
    9Sporting Cristal932416:13311
    10Alianza Atl92529:8111
    11FBC Melgar932413:13011
    12Deportivo Garcilaso92439:10-110
    13Moquegua93158:15-710
    14AD Tarma92349:12-39
    15Sport Huancayo92259:13-48
    16Sport Boys92258:12-48
    17Grau91445:10-57
    18FC Cajamarca912610:17-75

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