Metropolitanos vs Deportivo Garcilaso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Metropolitanos - Deportivo Garcilaso
Result
1:1
29/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.700.55
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
1112
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
77
Free Kicks
619
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
40
Throw-ins
2324
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Fouls
167
Yellow Cards
35
Attacks
82107
Dangerous Attacks
3649

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Garces R. 🟨,
  • 17', Cornejo M. 🟨,
  • 27', Diez C. , Bazan J. ,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Erustes P. , Chicaiza L. (A),
  • 44', Beltran C. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Flores Barrios R. D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Chicaiza L. , Ugarriza A. ,
  • 56', Gentile G. , Cuero M. ,
  • 57', Ochoa J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 57', Bustillo M. , Zorrilla E. ,
  • 73', Paraco C. , Martinez J. ,
  • 74', Erustes P. , Gonzales E. ,
  • 74', Beltran C. , Ramirez D. ,
  • 75', Lojas J. 🟨,
  • 82', Camarillo C. 🟨,
  • 82', Gonzales E. 🟨,
  • 86', Garces R. , Anton I. ,
  • 90+3', Perleche E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Rodriguez A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Metropolitanos
38.1%
Draw
25.5%
Deportivo Garcilaso
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 26.8% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 27% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Metropolitanos - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.74)
    3.67
    (3.45)
    2.57
    (2.34)
    6.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Metropolitanos - Deportivo Garcilaso?
  • Users Predictions: Metropolitanos will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.74%99.02%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 6:6.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Metropolitanos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metropolitanos - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
    04.04.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Metropolitanos 3:2
    Latest results of Metropolitanos
    Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2U. De ChileIndependiente1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3Central CordobaLanus0 : 2, 1 : 0
    4America De CaliFluminense0 : 2, 1 : 2
    5BolivarCienciano2 : 0, 2 : 0
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz1 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa2 : 2, 1 : 0
    8Once CaldasHuracan3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Alianza LimaTBD #2
    2LanusFluminense
    3BolivarAtletico-MG
    4Ind. del ValleOnce Caldas