Deportes Tolima vs Universitario de Deportes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
07/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.420.50
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
43
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
55
Passes
86% (416/482)69% (159/230)
Expected goals (xG)
0.420.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.45
Total shots
911
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
45
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1519
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1313
Passes
86% (416/482)69% (159/230)
Long passes
50% (17/34)37% (23/63)
Passes in final third
75% (95/127)61% (61/100)
Crosses
6% (1/17)12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.38
Throw ins
2425
Fouls
1313
Tackles
67% (10/15)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
3124
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.450.64
Goals prevented
0.450.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mosquera J. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 52', Rivera J. , Flores E. ,
  • 52', Perez Guedes M. , Miguel Silveira ,
  • 67', Sandoval L. , Osorio Y. ,
  • 70', Valera A. , Reyna B. ,
  • 77', Concha J. , Fertoli H. ,
  • 77', Castillo J. , Calcaterra H. ,
  • 78', Hernandez J. , Sanchez N. ,
  • 87', Arrieta C. , Lopez E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportes Tolima
47.8%
Draw
31.2%
Universitario de Deportes
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 33.6% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 32.7% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Tolima's performance.
  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Deportes Tolima - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.25)
    3.04
    (2.8)
    4.37
    (3.86)
    6%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Universitario de Deportes?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Uni de Deportes (4.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Deportes Tolima has had a series of home games.
    • Deportes Tolima could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Reyna B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Deportes Tolima: Lopez E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L. (Injury) Carabali J. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ22006:156
    2Estudiantes L.P21103:214
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Coquimbo21103:124
    3Deportes Tolima20111:3-21
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors22005:146
    2U. Catolica21013:303
    3Cruzeiro21012:203
    4Barcelona SC20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense21012:3-13
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe20111:3-21


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras21103:214
    2Sporting Cristal21012:203
    3Cerro Porteno21011:103
    4Junior20111:2-11


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito22003:036
    2Mirassol21011:2-13
    3Lanus21011:103
    4Always Ready20020:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21103:124
    2Rosario Central21101:014
    3Universidad Central21014:403
    4Libertad Asuncion20021:4-30

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)