Result
1:0
07/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.93 | 0.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
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85% (372/438) | 66% (157/237) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.93 | 0.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.21 | 0.04 |
Total shots |
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19 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
12 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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18 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 14 |
Passes |
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85% (372/438) | 66% (157/237) |
Long passes |
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63% (37/59) | 38% (20/53) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (111/149) | 44% (33/75) |
Crosses |
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26% (5/19) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.27 | 0.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 19 |
Fouls |
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18 | 13 |
Tackles |
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75% (3/4) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 38 |
Clearances |
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20 | 24 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.04 | 1.21 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Mayo S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Colorado J. 🟨,
- 60', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 61', Colorado J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
- 65', Castilla J. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Cordoba S. (Pen),
- 69', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
- 73', Castilla J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
- 73', Masllorens J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 73', Balanta Carabali K. A. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
- 73', Cuero S. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 85', Cordoba S. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
- 87', Copete D. 🟨,
- 89', Rodas M. 🟨,
- 90', Arroyo A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 90', Ricaurte A. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF 47.6% | Draw 32.2% | Deportivo La Equidad 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↑ (1.8) |
2.92 ↓ (3.3) |
4.63 ↓ (4.86) |
6.8% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
15.06.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:2
10.05.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo La Equidad
4:0
22.03.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
05.11.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:1
18.04.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:0
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 27 |
2 | Junior | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 25 |
3 | Fortaleza | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22:15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:12 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dep. Cali | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Alianza | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Llaneros | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Pereira | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | U. Magdalena | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 15 |
14 | America De Cali | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Aguilas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
16 | Millonarios | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
17 | Envigado | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
20 | La Equidad | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )