Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo La Equidad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad
Result
1:0
07/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.31
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
85% (372/438)66% (157/237)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.210.04
Total shots
196
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
124
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
188
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
85% (372/438)66% (157/237)
Long passes
63% (37/59)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
74% (111/149)44% (33/75)
Crosses
26% (5/19)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.41
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1813
Tackles
75% (3/4)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3138
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
0.041.21
Goals prevented
0.040.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Mayo S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Colorado J. 🟨,
  • 60', Diaz Y. 🟨,
  • 61', Colorado J. , Copete D. ,
  • 65', Castilla J. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Cordoba S. (Pen),
  • 69', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
  • 73', Castilla J. , Monaco M. ,
  • 73', Masllorens J. , Chaverra F. ,
  • 73', Balanta Carabali K. A. , Ramiirez S. ,
  • 73', Cuero S. , Amaya A. ,
  • 85', Cordoba S. , Florez K. ,
  • 87', Copete D. 🟨,
  • 89', Rodas M. 🟨,
  • 90', Arroyo A. , Martinez J. ,
  • 90', Ricaurte A. , Velasquez J. ,

Chances of winning


Fortaleza CEIF
47.6%
Draw
32.2%
Deportivo La Equidad
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 28.4% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 27.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.8)
    2.92
    (3.3)
    4.63
    (4.86)
    6.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF 0:2
    10.05.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad 4:0
    22.03.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1
    05.11.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad 2:1
    18.04.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF 0:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1483325:121327
    2Junior1474326:17925
    3Fortaleza1467119:13625
    4Ind. Medellin1273224:17724
    5Atl. Nacional1365222:15723
    6Deportes Tolima1472517:12523
    7Santa Fe1355315:11420
    8Dep. Cali1455419:19020
    9Alianza1455419:19020
    10Llaneros1454511:13-219
    11Once Caldas1344516:16016
    12Pereira1436512:14-215
    13U. Magdalena1443717:24-715
    14America De Cali1335510:11-114
    15Aguilas1335516:19-314
    16Millonarios1342714:19-514
    17Envigado1427511:14-313
    18Dep. Pasto1425715:21-611
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20La Equidad132567:18-1111

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )