Result
0:1
29/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 18
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (177/251) | 82% (360/437) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (177/251) | 82% (360/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 64% (51/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (40/85) | 64% (72/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Marulanda J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Marulanda J. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
- 46', Velasquez J. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
- 54', Aristizabal E. 🟨,
- 58', Quinones D. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 1, Aristizabal E. (Pen),
- 67', Bolivar J. ↓, Asprilla J. ↑,
- 68', Santamaria M. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,
- 74', Monaco M. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
- 74', Aristizabal E. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 81', Julio R. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
- 82', Gonzalez F. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
- 83', Arroyo A. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 86', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ricaurte A. ↓, Lasso M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Equidad
19.9% | Draw
27.1% | Fortaleza CEIF
53.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza CEIF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.58 ↑
(3.29) |
3.45 ↑
(3.12) |
1.82 ↓
(2.18) |
5.8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Fortaleza (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fortaleza CEIF will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortaleza CEIF will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 0.
- La Equidad is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fortaleza is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fortaleza could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Fortaleza will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
07.09.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:0
15.06.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:2
10.05.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo La Equidad
4:0
22.03.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
05.11.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
