Result
1:0
07/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (372/438) | 66% (157/237) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (372/438) | 66% (157/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (37/59) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (111/149) | 44% (33/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Mayo S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Colorado J. 🟨,
- 60', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 61', Colorado J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
- 65', Castilla J. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Cordoba S. (Pen),
- 69', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
- 73', Castilla J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
- 73', Masllorens J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 73', Balanta Carabali K. A. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
- 73', Cuero S. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 85', Cordoba S. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
- 87', Copete D. 🟨,
- 89', Rodas M. 🟨,
- 90', Arroyo A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 90', Ricaurte A. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
47.6% | Draw
32.2% | Deportivo La Equidad
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.8) |
2.92 ↓
(3.3) |
4.63 ↓
(4.86) |
6.8%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
15.06.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:2
10.05.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo La Equidad
4:0
22.03.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
05.11.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:1
18.04.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:0
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Alianza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Pereira | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Millonarios | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | La Equidad | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Aguilas | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
