Independiente Medellín vs Fortaleza CEIF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.06	0.24
Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
3	1
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	4
Passes
85% (317/375)	79% (264/335)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.06	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.38	0.10
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
10	3
Shots outside the box
4	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
28	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
16	8
Passes
85% (317/375)	79% (264/335)
Long passes
64% (35/55)	48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
72% (106/147)	61% (40/66)
Crosses
19% (5/26)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	0.69
Throw ins
23	18
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
78% (7/9)	86% (6/7)
Duels won
33	26
Clearances
10	18
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.10	0.38
Goals prevented
0.10	-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Serna A. 🟨,
56', Chaverra L. ↓, Mena Perea E. ↑,
56', Serna A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
57', Cajares J. 🟨,
67', Orozco C. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,
68', Loboa H. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
69', Catano D. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
75', Herrera J. 🟨,
78', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
78', Balanta J. ↓, Medina Obando J. ↑,
79', Cajares J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
81', Chaverra F. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
83', Velasquez J. ↓, Batioja A. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Yony Gonzalez ⚽,

Chances of winning

Independiente Medellín
59.3%

Draw
23.7%

Fortaleza CEIF
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

22.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	3.95 ↓ (4.19)	5.48 ↑ (5.35)	7.1% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of home games.
In this match, Ind Medellín is seen as the favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Fortaleza CEIF?

Independiente Medellín has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Independiente Medellín?

Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:

17.10.2025 Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF 3:1

03.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1

27.08.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín 0:0

27.04.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín 0:0

26.08.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín 2:2

Latest results of Independiente Medellín

22.04.2026 Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó 2:0 ✺

19.04.2026 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 0:1 ✺

16.04.2026 Flamengo - Independiente Medellín 4:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 2:3 ✺

08.04.2026 Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF

22.04.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali 1:2 ✺

18.04.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas 2:0 ✺

03.04.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Inter Bogotá 1:1 ✺

30.03.2026 Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF 2:2 ✺

24.03.2026 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto 1:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	18	13	1	4	35:14	21	40
2	Dep. Pasto ✔	18	10	4	4	26:21	5	34
3	Junior ✔	18	10	2	6	27:21	6	32
4	Deportes Tolima ✔	18	8	6	4	26:16	10	30
5	America De Cali ✔	18	9	3	6	24:15	9	30
6	Once Caldas ✔	18	7	9	2	30:22	8	30
7	Inter Bogotu00e1	18	7	7	4	25:23	2	28
8	Santa Fe	18	6	8	4	26:21	5	26
9	Dep. Cali	18	7	5	6	19:15	4	26
10	Ind. Medellin	18	7	5	6	25:22	3	26
11	Millonarios	18	7	4	7	29:21	8	25
12	Bucaramanga	18	5	8	5	25:18	7	23
13	Aguilas	18	6	5	7	18:24	-6	23
14	Llaneros	18	4	10	4	17:17	0	22
15	Fortaleza	18	4	7	7	20:26	-6	19
16	Cucuta	18	3	7	8	22:33	-11	16
17	Alianza	18	3	7	8	11:25	-14	16
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	18	4	3	11	18:33	-15	15
19	Chico	18	4	2	12	12:32	-20	14
20	Pereira	18	1	7	10	15:31	-16	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )