Result
1:2
24/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (290/366) | 75% (234/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (290/366) | 75% (234/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (60/89) | 56% (45/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Velasquez J. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Pico L. (A),
- 21', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
- 23', Perlaza J. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Garavito M. ⚽, Jimenez M. S. (A),
- 34', Ramirez D. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
- 42', Cordoba S. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Velasquez J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
- 57', Perlaza J. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 66', Balanta J. 🟨,
- 79', Garavito M. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
- 79', Goez Y. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
- 81', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 81', Herrera J. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Chavez D. ⚽, Pisano M. (A),
- 90+2', Jimenez M. S. 🟥,
- 90+5', Morelo W. 🟨,
- 90+5', Morelo W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
43% | Draw
30.6% | Deportivo Pasto
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.13) |
3.04 ↓
(3.18) |
3.52 ↑
(3.48) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Deportivo Pasto (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Fortaleza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Pasto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.
- Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Deportivo Pasto?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
24.10.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:0
04.05.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
14.09.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:0
04.03.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
