Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (217/293) | 79% (322/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (217/293) | 79% (322/407) |
| Long passes |
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| 34% (19/56) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 56% (44/79) | 52% (53/101) |
| Crosses |
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| 27% (4/15) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.01 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Mayo S. 🟨,
- 14', Abonia Y. 🟨,
- 32', Tegue G. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
- 33', Orozco S. 🟨,
- 39', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. (Pen),
- 45+9', 1 - 1, Orozco S. ⚽, Abonia Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Orozco S. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Copete D. ⚽, Torralvo A. (A),
- 61', Zapata A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 61', Velasquez Y. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
- 67', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 68', Lopez S. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 69', Copete D. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
- 71', Torres J. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
- 71', Mosquera H. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
- 76', Varela C. 🟨,
- 85', Ararat J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 87', Abonia Y. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
- 90+5', Balanta M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 90+6', Del Valle A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4zdf6dpp
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Equidad
26.5% | Draw
30.8% | Independiente Santa Fe
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(2.6) |
3.04 ↓
(3.1) |
2.19 ↓
(2.63) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 2.
- La Equidad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Santa Fe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Santa Fe will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:21 (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams La Equidad won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
27.07.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:1
26.05.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:0
12.05.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:2
30.01.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
12.08.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
