Result
3:0
28/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (445/503) | 76% (195/255) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (445/503) | 76% (195/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (43/60) | 39% (16/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (117/154) | 64% (30/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Torres J. 🟨,
- 42', Fernandez O. 🟨,
- 42', Rodallega H. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Torres J. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
- 62', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Fernandez O. ⚽, Mafla C. (A),
- 66', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 66', Castilla J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 0, Zapata A. ⚽, Molina T. (A),
- 74', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 76', Mosquera H. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 76', Rodallega H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 85', Colorado J. ↓, Santamaria M. ↑,
- 85', Quinones D. 🟨,
- 85', Rodas M. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
- 86', Mafla C. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
- 86', Fernandez O. ↓, Tamayo S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/jrtkyv46
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
62.8% | Draw
24.9% | Deportivo La Equidad
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.55) |
3.77 ↑
(3.65) |
7.49 ↑
(6.56) |
5.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). La Equidad will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for La Equidad: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo La Equidad will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.
- Santa Fe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- La Equidad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Fe is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Santa Fe will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
10.04.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:1
27.07.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:1
26.05.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:0
12.05.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:2
30.01.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
