Result
3:0
28/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 0.34 |
Ball Possession |
---|
66% | 34% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
88% (445/503) | 76% (195/255) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 0.34 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.73 | 0.06 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
13 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
88% (445/503) | 76% (195/255) |
Long passes |
---|
72% (43/60) | 39% (16/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (117/154) | 64% (30/47) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (8/28) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.76 | 0.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 7 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (3/6) | 75% (6/8) |
Duels won |
---|
28 | 29 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.06 | 1.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Torres J. 🟨,
- 42', Fernandez O. 🟨,
- 42', Rodallega H. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Torres J. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
- 62', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Fernandez O. ⚽, Mafla C. (A),
- 66', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 66', Castilla J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 0, Zapata A. ⚽, Molina T. (A),
- 74', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 76', Mosquera H. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 76', Rodallega H. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 85', Colorado J. ↓, Santamaria M. ↑,
- 85', Quinones D. 🟨,
- 85', Rodas M. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
- 86', Mafla C. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
- 86', Fernandez O. ↓, Tamayo S. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/jrtkyv46
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe 62.8% | Draw 24.9% | Deportivo La Equidad 12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.55) |
3.77 ↑ (3.65) |
7.49 ↑ (6.56) |
5.1% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). La Equidad will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for La Equidad: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo La Equidad will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.
- Santa Fe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- La Equidad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Fe is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Santa Fe will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
10.04.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:1
27.07.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:1
26.05.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:0
12.05.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:2
30.01.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 27 |
2 | Junior | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 25 |
3 | Fortaleza | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:12 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dep. Cali | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Alianza | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Llaneros | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Pereira | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | U. Magdalena | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 15 |
14 | America De Cali | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Aguilas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
16 | Millonarios | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
17 | Envigado | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Chico | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 12 |
19 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
20 | La Equidad | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )