Deportivo La Equidad vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
2:1
10/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.54
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
74% (217/293)79% (322/407)
Yellow Cards
63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.57
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1322
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
711
Passes
74% (217/293)79% (322/407)
Long passes
34% (19/56)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
56% (44/79)52% (53/101)
Crosses
27% (4/15)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.231.01
Fouls
117
Tackles
75% (6/8)75% (6/8)
Duels won
2334
Clearances Total
2521
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.571.04
Goals prevented
0.57-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Mayo S. 🟨,
  • 14', Abonia Y. 🟨,
  • 32', Tegue G. , Montano B. ,
  • 33', Orozco S. 🟨,
  • 39', Moreno V. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. (Pen),
  • 45+9', 1 - 1, Orozco S. , Abonia Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Orozco S. , Copete D. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Copete D. , Torralvo A. (A),
  • 61', Zapata A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 61', Velasquez Y. , Murillo E. ,
  • 67', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 68', Lopez S. , Chaverra F. ,
  • 69', Copete D. , Tamara S. ,
  • 71', Torres J. , Albornoz O. ,
  • 71', Mosquera H. , Balanta M. ,
  • 76', Varela C. 🟨,
  • 85', Ararat J. , Torres D. ,
  • 87', Abonia Y. , Del Valle A. ,
  • 90+5', Balanta M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Chaverra F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Del Valle A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4zdf6dpp

Chances of winning


Deportivo La Equidad
26.5%
Draw
30.8%
Independiente Santa Fe
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 29.7% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 29.4% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (2.6)
    3.04
    (3.1)
    2.19
    (2.63)
    7.1%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: Independiente Santa Fe will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 2.
    • La Equidad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Santa Fe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Santa Fe will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:21 (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams La Equidad won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 0:1
    26.05.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 2:0
    12.05.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe 0:2
    30.01.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe 1:0
    12.08.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 1:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )