Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo La Equidad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad
Result
3:0
28/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.34
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
88% (445/503)76% (195/255)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.06
Total shots
206
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
88% (445/503)76% (195/255)
Long passes
72% (43/60)39% (16/41)
Passes in final third
76% (117/154)64% (30/47)
Crosses
29% (8/28)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.760.28
Throw-ins
277
Fouls
1012
Tackles
50% (3/6)75% (6/8)
Duels won
2829
Clearances
1525
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.061.73
Goals prevented
0.06-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Torres J. 🟨,
  • 42', Fernandez O. 🟨,
  • 42', Rodallega H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. , Mosquera H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Torres J. , Molina T. ,
  • 62', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Fernandez O. , Mafla C. (A),
  • 66', Micolta Piedahita J. , Chaverra F. ,
  • 66', Castilla J. , Monaco M. ,
  • 69', 3 - 0, Zapata A. , Molina T. (A),
  • 74', Parra Atehortua K. , Valencia J. ,
  • 76', Mosquera H. , Lopez E. ,
  • 76', Rodallega H. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 85', Colorado J. , Santamaria M. ,
  • 85', Quinones D. 🟨,
  • 85', Rodas M. , Montano B. ,
  • 86', Mafla C. , Balanta M. ,
  • 86', Fernandez O. , Tamayo S. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/jrtkyv46

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
62.8%
Draw
24.9%
Deportivo La Equidad
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 25.6% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 24.9% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.55)
    3.77
    (3.65)
    7.49
    (6.56)
    5.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). La Equidad will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for La Equidad: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo La Equidad will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.
    • Santa Fe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • La Equidad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Santa Fe is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Santa Fe will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe 2:1
    27.07.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 0:1
    26.05.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 2:0
    12.05.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe 0:2
    30.01.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe 1:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1483325:121327
    2Junior1474326:17925
    3Fortaleza1467119:13625
    4Ind. Medellin1273224:17724
    5Atl. Nacional1466223:16724
    6Deportes Tolima1472517:12523
    7Santa Fe1355315:11420
    8Dep. Cali1455419:19020
    9Alianza1455419:19020
    10Llaneros1454511:13-219
    11Once Caldas1344516:16016
    12Pereira1436512:14-215
    13U. Magdalena1443717:24-715
    14America De Cali1335510:11-114
    15Aguilas1335516:19-314
    16Millonarios1342714:19-514
    17Envigado1427511:14-313
    18Chico1426611:22-1112
    19Dep. Pasto1425715:21-611
    20La Equidad132567:18-1111

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