Result
1:2
23/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (308/355) | 82% (289/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (308/355) | 82% (289/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (42/58) | 66% (44/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (99/117) | 63% (71/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 100% (11/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Gil M. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
- 46', Torres J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 62', Palacios L. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Fagundez F. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
- 65', Torijano F. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Rodallega H. ⚽,
- 71', Perlaza J. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 73', Fagundez F. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 77', Pisano M. 🟨,
- 77', Pisano M. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
- 79', Garavito M. 🟨,
- 86', Fernandez O. ↓, Juan Quintero ↑,
- 86', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Cordoba S. ⚽, Bernal J. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3hr8ykcc
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
43.6% | Draw
31.8% | Independiente Santa Fe
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Deportivo Pasto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.14) |
2.96 ↓
(3.06) |
3.8 ↑
(3.61) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Santa Fe (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Pasto will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Deportivo Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
- Deportivo Pasto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santa Fe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Deportivo Pasto could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo Pasto?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
20.09.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
04.04.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:1
02.12.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:2
29.11.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
17.07.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
