Deportivo La Equidad vs Unión Magdalena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena
Result
0:1
01/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.90
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
86% (426/496)75% (258/346)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.511.32
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
97
Passes
86% (426/496)75% (258/346)
Long passes
47% (20/43)32% (22/69)
Passes in final third
67% (62/93)49% (35/71)
Crosses
30% (6/20)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.76
Throw-ins
2919
Fouls
79
Tackles
80% (4/5)89% (8/9)
Duels won
2533
Clearances
2030
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.320.51
Goals prevented
0.320.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Mattalia J. 🟨,
  • 44', Contreras J. , Martinez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Sarmiento J. , Urrego Hector (A),
  • 52', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
  • 63', Montano B. , Angel Amaya Pena M. ,
  • 64', Masllorens J. , Mayo S. ,
  • 64', Micolta Piedahita J. , Bolivar J. ,
  • 69', Mercado J. , Giraldo J. ,
  • 73', Monaco M. , Valencia J. ,
  • 78', Parra Atehortua K. , Pena D. ,
  • 78', Marquez R. , Aleman J. ,
  • 78', Colpa Bolano R. R. , Congo J. ,
  • 90+5', Cantillo F. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n7te832

Chances of winning


Deportivo La Equidad
46%
Draw
30.5%
Unión Magdalena
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 29.1% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 25.8% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Equidad that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Magdalena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.18)
    3.07
    (3.22)
    3.92
    (3.39)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena?
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo La Equidad will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 1.
    • Recent performances by La Equidad have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Unión Magdalena's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • La Equidad might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo La Equidad 0:0
    04.09.2023 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0
    18.03.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena 0:0
    21.10.2022 Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena 4:1
    Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
    Latest results of Unión Magdalena
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior852116:10617
    2Ind. Medellin851213:9416
    3Fortaleza835012:8414
    4Llaneros84229:5414
    5Deportes Tolima74128:5313
    6Atl. Nacional733113:7612
    7Pereira83329:8112
    8Santa Fe83328:8012
    9Envigado82428:8010
    10Dep. Cali723210:12-29
    11La Equidad82336:9-39
    12U. Magdalena72236:11-58
    13Bucaramanga52129:817
    14Aguilas71428:807
    15Chico71336:9-36
    16Alianza71335:10-56
    17Dep. Pasto61238:10-25
    18America De Cali51134:6-24
    19Millonarios71158:11-34
    20Once Caldas60336:10-43

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