Deportivo La Equidad vs Unión Magdalena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.90
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
86% (426/496)	75% (258/346)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.51	1.32
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
7	9
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
16	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	7
Passes
86% (426/496)	75% (258/346)
Long passes
47% (20/43)	32% (22/69)
Passes in final third
67% (62/93)	49% (35/71)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	0.76
Throw-ins
29	19
Fouls
7	9
Tackles
80% (4/5)	89% (8/9)
Duels won
25	33
Clearances
20	30
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.32	0.51
Goals prevented
0.32	0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Mattalia J. 🟨,
44', Contreras J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Urrego Hector (A),
52', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
63', Montano B. ↓, Angel Amaya Pena M. ↑,
64', Masllorens J. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,
64', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
69', Mercado J. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
73', Monaco M. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
78', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
78', Marquez R. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
78', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
90+5', Cantillo F. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n7te832

Chances of winning

Deportivo La Equidad
46%

Draw
30.5%

Unión Magdalena
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Equidad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Magdalena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.18)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)	3.92 ↑ (3.39)	6.7% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. La Equidad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo La Equidad will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 1.
Recent performances by La Equidad have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión Magdalena's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
La Equidad might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Unión Magdalena?

Deportivo La Equidad has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Deportivo La Equidad?

Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena were as follows:

16.02.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo La Equidad 0:0

04.09.2023 Unión Magdalena - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0

18.03.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena 0:0

21.10.2022 Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena 4:1

Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad

27.07.2025 Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad 1:1 ✺

23.07.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios 1:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad 3:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

27.07.2025 Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín 0:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena 4:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA 0:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA 0:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena 3:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	12	9	0	3	26:9	17	27
2	Dep. Pasto	12	7	3	2	18:14	4	24
3	Once Caldas	13	6	5	2	24:17	7	23
4	Inter Bogotu00e1	13	5	6	2	17:18	-1	21
5	Millonarios	13	6	2	5	23:14	9	20
6	America De Cali	11	6	2	3	16:8	8	20
7	Deportes Tolima	12	5	5	2	15:9	6	20
8	Bucaramanga	11	4	7	0	16:6	10	19
9	Junior	12	6	1	5	17:18	-1	19
10	Dep. Cali	13	4	4	5	14:12	2	16
11	Aguilas	12	4	4	4	12:12	0	16
12	Llaneros	12	3	6	3	14:13	1	15
13	Santa Fe	12	3	6	3	14:15	-1	15
14	Fortaleza	12	3	5	4	13:18	-5	14
15	Ind. Medellin	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	13	3	2	8	11:23	-12	11
17	Alianza	12	2	5	5	7:19	-12	11
18	Chico	12	2	2	8	10:20	-10	8
19	Cucuta	12	1	4	7	16:25	-9	7
20	Pereira	11	0	5	6	10:22	-12	5

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )