Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 17
- Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (183/251) | 81% (325/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (183/251) | 81% (325/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 69% (54/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (50/83) | 53% (53/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 41% (12/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Munoz A. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Ledesma A. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Ushina K. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 56', Iriarte I. 🟨,
- 66', Monti R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 73', Tello M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 73', Juambeltz M. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 79', Iriarte I. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 79', Mera F. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 79', Luna D. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 81', Munoz A. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez P. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 88', Correa C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Larotonda C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
44.1% | Draw
29.8% | Vinotinto
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Macará that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.31) |
3.12 ↓
(3.22) |
3.56 ↑
(3.02) |
8.1%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Macará will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.
- Recent performances by Macará have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vinotinto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Macará could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Vinotinto?
Deportivo Macará has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Deportivo Macará?
Vinotinto has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto were as follows:
22.02.2025
Vinotinto
-
Deportivo Macará
1:2
27.07.2024
Vinotinto
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
05.10.2023
Vinotinto
-
Deportivo Macará
2:1
15.08.2023
Deportivo Macará
-
Vinotinto
2:0
16.05.2023
Vinotinto
-
Deportivo Macará
2:3
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
