Deportivo Macará vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto
Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 17
  • Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.88
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
73% (183/251)81% (325/403)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.53
Total shots
715
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
19
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
710
Passes
73% (183/251)81% (325/403)
Long passes
55% (31/56)69% (54/78)
Passes in final third
60% (50/83)53% (53/100)
Crosses
6% (1/17)41% (12/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.74
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
107
Tackles
79% (15/19)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4650
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.531.04
Goals prevented
0.53-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Ledesma A. , Munoz A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Ushina K. , Julio M. ,
  • 56', Iriarte I. 🟨,
  • 66', Monti R. , Molina N. ,
  • 73', Tello M. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 73', Juambeltz M. , Paz F. ,
  • 79', Iriarte I. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 79', Mera F. , Coba K. ,
  • 79', Luna D. , Lugo J. ,
  • 81', Munoz A. , Viera M. ,
  • 88', Gonzalez P. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 88', Correa C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Larotonda C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Macará
44.1%
Draw
29.8%
Vinotinto
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.9% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27.3% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Macará that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.31)
    3.12
    (3.22)
    3.56
    (3.02)
    8.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Macará will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.
    • Recent performances by Macará have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vinotinto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Macará could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará 1:2
    27.07.2024 Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará 3:1
    05.10.2023 Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará 2:1
    15.08.2023 Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto 2:0
    16.05.2023 Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará 2:3
    Latest results of Deportivo Macará
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    14.06.2025 Vinotinto - LDU Quito 1:2
    02.06.2025 Vinotinto - Libertad Loja 1:0
    24.05.2025 Manta - Vinotinto 2:2
    12.05.2025 El Nacional - Vinotinto 2:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2Barcelona SC21115533:25838
    3LDU Quito21107437:211637
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )