Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 17
- Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 0.88 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
73% (183/251) | 81% (325/403) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 0.88 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.04 | 0.53 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
73% (183/251) | 81% (325/403) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (31/56) | 69% (54/78) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (50/83) | 53% (53/100) |
Crosses |
---|
6% (1/17) | 41% (12/29) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.06 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (15/19) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.53 | 1.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.53 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Munoz A. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Ledesma A. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Ushina K. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 56', Iriarte I. 🟨,
- 66', Monti R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 73', Tello M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 73', Juambeltz M. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 79', Iriarte I. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 79', Mera F. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 79', Luna D. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 81', Munoz A. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez P. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 88', Correa C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Larotonda C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará 44.1% | Draw 29.8% | Vinotinto 26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Macará that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↓ (2.31) |
3.12 ↓ (3.22) |
3.56 ↑ (3.02) |
8.1% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Macará will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.
- Recent performances by Macará have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vinotinto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Macará could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Vinotinto?
Deportivo Macará has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Deportivo Macará?
Vinotinto has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto were as follows:
22.02.2025
Vinotinto
-
Deportivo Macará
1:2
27.07.2024
Vinotinto
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
05.10.2023
Vinotinto
-
Deportivo Macará
2:1
15.08.2023
Deportivo Macará
-
Vinotinto
2:0
16.05.2023
Vinotinto
-
Deportivo Macará
2:3
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )