Deportivo Macará vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto
Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 17
  • Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.88
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
73% (183/251)81% (325/403)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.53
Total shots
715
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
19
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
710
Passes
73% (183/251)81% (325/403)
Long passes
55% (31/56)69% (54/78)
Passes in final third
60% (50/83)53% (53/100)
Crosses
6% (1/17)41% (12/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.74
Throw-ins
1621
Fouls
107
Tackles
79% (15/19)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4650
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.531.04
Goals prevented
0.53-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Ledesma A. , Munoz A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Ushina K. , Julio M. ,
  • 56', Iriarte I. 🟨,
  • 66', Monti R. , Molina N. ,
  • 73', Tello M. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 73', Juambeltz M. , Paz F. ,
  • 79', Iriarte I. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 79', Mera F. , Coba K. ,
  • 79', Luna D. , Lugo J. ,
  • 81', Munoz A. , Viera M. ,
  • 88', Gonzalez P. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 88', Correa C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Larotonda C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Macará
44.1%
Draw
29.8%
Vinotinto
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.9% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27.3% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Macará that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.31)
    3.12
    (3.22)
    3.56
    (3.02)
    8.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Macará will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.
    • Recent performances by Macará have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vinotinto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Macará could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará 1:2
    27.07.2024 Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará 3:1
    05.10.2023 Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará 2:1
    15.08.2023 Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto 2:0
    16.05.2023 Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará 2:3
    Latest results of Deportivo Macará
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    14.06.2025 Vinotinto - LDU Quito 1:2
    02.06.2025 Vinotinto - Libertad Loja 1:0
    24.05.2025 Manta - Vinotinto 2:2
    12.05.2025 El Nacional - Vinotinto 2:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle27178250:203059
    2Barcelona SC27145840:32847
    3LDU Quito27129642:261645
    4Dep. Cuenca27127832:26643
    5U. Catolica27119751:351642
    6Libertad27119740:34642
    7Orense27126931:31042
    8Aucas271151136:39-338
    9Emelec27108926:30-438
    10EL Nacional27971132:35-334
    11Macara277101026:28-231
    12Delfin276111025:40-1529
    13Manta275101231:45-1425
    14Tecnico U27671424:41-1725
    15Vinotinto27661529:38-924
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 27651630:45-1523

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )