Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 14
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (284/403) | 56% (138/247) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (284/403) | 56% (138/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/73) | 28% (23/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (68/123) | 42% (49/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (4/37) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Biojo R. 🟨,
- 20', Paz F. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
- 38', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 44', Bolanos D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Alvarez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Caicedo N. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 61', Ayovi W. ↓, Bardales W. ↑,
- 62', Bolanos D. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
- 73', Cazares J. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 79', Montano J. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
- 85', Munoz A. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 1, Tello M. ⚽,
- 90+4', Quinonez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
42.9% | Draw
29.5% | Deportivo Macará
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.44) |
3.11 ↓
(3.13) |
3.38 ↑
(2.84) |
8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Macará will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Libertad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Macará is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Libertad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Deportivo Macará?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Libertad Loja?
Deportivo Macará has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
16.08.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Deportivo Macará
0:1
15.03.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
