Orense vs Deportivo Macará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Orense - Deportivo Macará
Result
1:0
16/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 16
  • Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.37
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
82% (384/471)60% (118/198)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.06
Total shots
79
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1413
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
2113
Passes
82% (384/471)60% (118/198)
Long passes
50% (20/40)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
69% (94/137)44% (27/62)
Crosses
14% (2/14)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.12
Throw-ins
1218
Fouls
1321
Tackles
70% (7/10)81% (13/16)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
1929
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.060.17
Goals prevented
0.06-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Espinoza T. 🟨,
  • 59', Ayala M. , Mesa Mercado E. E. ,
  • 61', Olinick A. , Molina N. ,
  • 68', Valverde J. 🟨,
  • 71', Cazares J. 🟨,
  • 72', Ledesma A. 🟨,
  • 73', Ledesma A. , Juambeltz M. ,
  • 74', Mena A. , Armas D. ,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Caicedo B. ,
  • 84', Alvarez L. , Tello M. ,
  • 84', Espinoza T. , Chere A. ,
  • 89', Caicedo B. , Mina S. ,
  • 90+7', Arena N. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Orense
52%
Draw
28.2%
Deportivo Macará
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 28.2% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 27.2% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Orense - Deportivo Macará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.85)
    3.25
    (3.3)
    4.64
    (4.33)
    8.4%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Orense - Deportivo Macará?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orense will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
    • Orense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Macará has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Orense is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Deportivo Macará - Orense 1:0
    27.09.2024 Orense - Deportivo Macará 1:0
    13.04.2024 Deportivo Macará - Orense 0:0
    Latest results of Orense
    31.05.2025 Emelec - Orense 1:0
    24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1
    17.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Orense 2:5
    09.05.2025 Orense - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0
    04.05.2025 Delfín - Orense 0:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Macará
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle ✔ 301810255:233264
    2Barcelona SC ✔ 30166846:331354
    3LDU Quito ✔ 30149748:311751
    4U. Catolica301310758:391949
    5Orense30138934:32247
    6Libertad301210842:36646
    7Dep. Cuenca301371035:29646
    8Emelec ✔ 301191030:34-442
    9Aucas ✔ 301181138:41-341
    10Macara ✔ 309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional ✔ 30971432:46-1434
    12Delfin306131126:42-1631
    13Tecnico U30771626:46-2028
    14Vinotinto30761734:43-927
    15Mushuc Runa ✔ 30761738:50-1227
    16Manta ✔ 305111434:53-1926

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
    Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
    Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )