Result
1:0
16/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 16
- Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 0.37 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
82% (384/471) | 60% (118/198) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 0.37 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.17 | 0.06 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
82% (384/471) | 60% (118/198) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (20/40) | 31% (16/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (94/137) | 44% (27/62) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (2/14) | 8% (1/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.78 | 0.12 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 81% (13/16) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.06 | 0.17 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Espinoza T. 🟨,
- 59', Ayala M. ↓, Mesa Mercado E. E. ↑,
- 61', Olinick A. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 68', Valverde J. 🟨,
- 71', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 72', Ledesma A. 🟨,
- 73', Ledesma A. ↓, Juambeltz M. ↑,
- 74', Mena A. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽,
- 84', Alvarez L. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 84', Espinoza T. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
- 89', Caicedo B. ↓, Mina S. ↑,
- 90+7', Arena N. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Orense 52% | Draw 28.2% | Deportivo Macará 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+1%)
Orense - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (1.85) |
3.25 ↓ (3.3) |
4.64 ↑ (4.33) |
8.4% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Orense - Deportivo Macará?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Orense will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
- Orense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Macará has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Orense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Deportivo Macará?
Orense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Orense?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
15.02.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Orense
1:0
27.09.2024
Orense
-
Deportivo Macará
1:0
13.04.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Orense
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )