Result
1:0
16/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 16
- Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (384/471) | 60% (118/198) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (384/471) | 60% (118/198) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 31% (16/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (94/137) | 44% (27/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Espinoza T. 🟨,
- 59', Ayala M. ↓, Mesa Mercado E. E. ↑,
- 61', Olinick A. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 68', Valverde J. 🟨,
- 71', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 72', Ledesma A. 🟨,
- 73', Ledesma A. ↓, Juambeltz M. ↑,
- 74', Mena A. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽,
- 84', Alvarez L. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 84', Espinoza T. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
- 89', Caicedo B. ↓, Mina S. ↑,
- 90+7', Arena N. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Orense
52% | Draw
28.2% | Deportivo Macará
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+1%)
Orense - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.85) |
3.25 ↓
(3.3) |
4.64 ↑
(4.33) |
8.4%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Orense - Deportivo Macará?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Orense will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
- Orense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Macará has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Orense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Deportivo Macará?
Orense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Orense?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
15.02.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Orense
1:0
27.09.2024
Orense
-
Deportivo Macará
1:0
13.04.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Orense
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
