Result
1:4
27/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 22
- Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 1.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
77% (247/319) | 78% (275/352) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 1.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.52 | 2.83 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
77% (247/319) | 78% (275/352) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (31/56) | 41% (23/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (73/115) | 57% (43/76) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (5/23) | 56% (5/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.75 | 0.57 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (12/17) | 55% (12/22) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.83 | 0.52 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.17 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Londono A. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Blanc G. ⚽, Espinoza T. (A),
- 28', Blanc G. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 39', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 2, Palacios B. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Paz F. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 3, Palacios B. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 59', 1 - 4, Londono A. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
- 63', Blanc G. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 63', Juambeltz M. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 64', Londono A. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 70', Anangono G. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 81', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 82', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 82', Morales J. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
- 83', Palacios B. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará 29.7% | Draw 28.5% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador 41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.1 ↑ (2.95) |
3.26 ↑ (3.14) |
2.24 ↓ (2.4) |
7.7% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 50%). Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Deportivo Macará?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
06.04.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Macará
1:0
30.11.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
02.06.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Macará
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )