Result
1:4
27/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 22
- Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (247/319) | 78% (275/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (247/319) | 78% (275/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 41% (23/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (73/115) | 57% (43/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Londono A. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Blanc G. ⚽, Espinoza T. (A),
- 28', Blanc G. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 39', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 2, Palacios B. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Paz F. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 3, Palacios B. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 59', 1 - 4, Londono A. ⚽, Clavijo E. (A),
- 63', Blanc G. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 63', Juambeltz M. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 64', Londono A. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
- 70', Anangono G. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 81', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 82', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 82', Morales J. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
- 83', Palacios B. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
29.7% | Draw
28.5% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.95) |
3.26 ↑
(3.14) |
2.24 ↓
(2.4) |
7.7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 50%). Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Deportivo Macará?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
06.04.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Macará
1:0
30.11.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
02.06.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Macará
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
