Manta vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

Liga Pro - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.95	0.43
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
7	2
Passes
60% (171/283)	74% (296/402)
Yellow cards
5	1
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.95	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	0.00
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
9	5
Shots outside the box
1	4
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
20	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	0
Free kicks
8	26
Passes
60% (171/283)	74% (296/402)
Long passes
38% (27/72)	47% (40/85)
Passes in final third
52% (47/90)	50% (62/125)
Crosses
44% (7/16)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	0.54
Throw ins
12	31
Fouls
26	8
Tackles
73% (11/15)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
44	64
Clearances
29	19
Interceptions
13	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	1.37
Goals prevented
0.00	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Moscarelli O. ⚽,
45', Ramirez B. 🟨,
45+1', Canga L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alonso M. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
46', Cacciabue J. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
49', Troya J. 🟨,
56', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
63', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
66', Troya J. ↓, Asagidigbi F. ↑,
72', Jimenez J. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
79', Londono A. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
79', Ramirez B. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
79', Alman J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
90+1', Zambrano F. 🟨,
90+1', Carvajal Burgos J. E. 🟨,
90+4', Nazareno J. 🟨,
90+6', Carvajal Burgos J. E. 🟥,
90+7', Clavijo E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Manta
21.7%

Draw
27.7%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

26.3%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

25.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica del Ecuador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.99)	3.33 ↓ (3.56)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)	8.6% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
Manta has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Uni Católica is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of home games.
In this match, Uni Católica is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Uni Católica will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Manta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Manta?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:

12.07.2025 Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 4:2

15.03.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta 3:0

Latest results of Manta

22.04.2026 Leones del Norte - Manta 3:0 ✺

19.04.2026 Manta - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Mushuc Runa - Manta 1:0 ✺

05.04.2026 Manta - Técnico Universitario 0:2 ✺

21.03.2026 LDU Quito - Manta 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

23.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará 4:0 ✺

18.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 2:0 ✺

12.04.2026 Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:2 ✺

08.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 1:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City 4:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	12	9	1	2	22:13	9	28
2	U. Catolica	12	6	4	2	21:8	13	22
3	Barcelona SC	12	5	5	2	13:10	3	20
4	Aucas	12	5	4	3	14:11	3	19
5	Guayaquil City	12	5	3	4	10:11	-1	18
6	LDU Quito	12	5	2	5	10:10	0	17
7	Dep. Cuenca	12	5	2	5	14:16	-2	17
8	Mushuc Runa	12	4	4	4	15:13	2	16
9	Macara	12	4	4	4	13:12	1	16
10	Orense	12	4	4	4	17:17	0	16
11	Delfin	12	4	3	5	5:6	-1	15
12	Emelec	12	4	2	6	9:15	-6	14
13	Leones del Norte	12	3	4	5	10:12	-2	13
14	Libertad	12	3	4	5	11:16	-5	13
15	Tecnico U	12	3	2	7	9:13	-4	11
16	Manta	12	2	2	8	4:14	-10	8

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