Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Deportivo Macará

23/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 10
Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
3.38	0.75
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
8	1
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
3	6
Passes
85% (360/426)	79% (254/322)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
3.38	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.63	0.05
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
8	1
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
8	3
Shots outside the box
7	6
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
16	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
18	11
Passes
85% (360/426)	79% (254/322)
Long passes
42% (18/43)	40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
65% (67/103)	64% (54/84)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	0.35
Throw ins
17	18
Fouls
11	18
Tackles
47% (8/17)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
52	37
Clearances
17	9
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.05	2.63
Goals prevented
0.05	-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Miranda M. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
56', Fajardo J. 🟨,
58', Londono A. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
59', Moreno L. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Clavijo E. ⚽, Mejia E. (A),
68', Espinoza T. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
68', Klinger J. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
70', Bolanos D. 🟨,
72', 2 - 0, Fajardo J. (Penalty Awarded),
74', 3 - 0, Zambrano J. (Own goal),
77', Posse F. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
77', Viera M. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
77', Mejia E. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
77', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
81', Cazares J. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 0, Palacios B. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
54.7%

Draw
26.2%

Deportivo Macará
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.2%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

24.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Universidad Católica del Ecuador have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 (1.71)	3.54 ↓ (3.71)	4.85 ↑ (4.64)	7.4% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 5.
Uni Católica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Macará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Uni Católica is the team to beat.
We predict that Uni Católica will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Deportivo Macará?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará were as follows:

27.07.2025 Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:4

06.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará 1:0

30.11.2024 Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2

02.06.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará 3:0

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

18.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 2:0 ✺

12.04.2026 Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:2 ✺

08.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 1:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City 4:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Macará

19.04.2026 Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:1 ✺

16.04.2026 Tigre - Deportivo Macará 0:1 ✺

12.04.2026 Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará 2:1 ✺

09.04.2026 Deportivo Macará - América de Cali 1:1 ✺

05.04.2026 Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas 0:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	11	8	1	2	19:11	8	25
2	U. Catolica	11	6	4	1	19:5	14	22
3	Aucas	11	5	4	2	12:8	4	19
4	Barcelona SC	11	5	4	2	12:9	3	19
5	Guayaquil City	11	5	3	3	10:10	0	18
6	Mushuc Runa	11	4	4	3	15:12	3	16
7	Macara	11	4	4	3	12:10	2	16
8	LDU Quito	11	4	2	5	9:10	-1	14
9	Dep. Cuenca	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
10	Emelec	11	4	2	5	9:13	-4	14
11	Orense	11	3	4	4	15:16	-1	13
12	Delfin	11	3	3	5	4:6	-2	12
13	Tecnico U	11	3	2	6	8:11	-3	11
14	Leones del Norte	11	2	4	5	8:12	-4	10
15	Libertad	11	2	4	5	8:14	-6	10
16	Manta	11	2	1	8	3:13	-10	7

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Deportivo Macará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV