Estudiantes de Caseros vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Berterame G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villarreal M. , Sambueza R. ,
  • 46', Correa J. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 51', Saccone F. 🟨,
  • 58', Caceres F. 🟨,
  • 63', Brinone S. , Acosta E. ,
  • 63', Squie T. , Rostagno D. ,
  • 71', de la Reta J. , Silva T. ,
  • 77', Berterame G. , Lusnig L. ,
  • 80', Quinteros F. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 84', Minervino D. 🟨,
  • 87', Saccone F. , Sanchez J. M. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
64.8%
Draw
24.8%
Deportivo Maipú
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 28.5% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 26.9% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.72)
    4.14
    (3.22)
    10.38
    (5.05)
    0.1%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Deportivo Maipú (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 2.
    • CA Estudiantes is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • CA Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, CA Estudiantes is the team to beat.
    • We predict that CA Estudiantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú 2:1
    09.06.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros 1:0
    10.09.2023 Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:0
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Caseros
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso33008:269
    2San Miguel32104:137
    3Almirante Brown32103:127
    4Ferro31204:225
    5Deportivo Moron31204:225
    6Colon Santa Fe31203:215
    7Def. de Belgrano31203:215
    8All Boys31113:304
    9CA Mitre31112:204
    10Racing Cordoba31111:3-24
    11Godoy Cruz30302:203
    12Ciudad Bolivar30302:203
    13Deportivo Madryn30212:3-12
    14Los Andes30211:2-12
    15San Telmo30124:7-31
    16Central Norte30120:3-31
    17Chaco For Ever30122:6-41
    18CA Estudiantes30030:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro33006:249
    2Nueva Chicago32103:037
    3Gimnasia Jujuy32014:406
    4San Martin T31203:215
    5Tristan Suarez31202:115
    6Chacarita Juniors31115:414
    7Midland31113:214
    8Deportivo Maipu31115:504
    9San Martin S.J31114:404
    10Atl. Rafaela31112:204
    11Atletico Atlanta31111:104
    12Temperley31111:104
    13Club A. Guemes31023:4-13
    14Colegiales31022:4-23
    15Agropecuario31022:4-23
    16Patronato30211:2-12
    17Quilmes30120:2-21
    18Almagro30120:3-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation