Estudiantes de Caseros vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Berterame G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villarreal M. , Sambueza R. ,
  • 46', Correa J. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 51', Saccone F. 🟨,
  • 58', Caceres F. 🟨,
  • 63', Brinone S. , Acosta E. ,
  • 63', Squie T. , Rostagno D. ,
  • 71', de la Reta J. , Silva T. ,
  • 77', Berterame G. , Lusnig L. ,
  • 80', Quinteros F. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 84', Minervino D. 🟨,
  • 87', Saccone F. , Sanchez J. M. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
64.8%
Draw
24.8%
Deportivo Maipú
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 28.5% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 26.9% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.72)
    4.14
    (3.22)
    10.38
    (5.05)
    0.1%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Deportivo Maipú (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Maipú (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 2.
    • CA Estudiantes is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • CA Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, CA Estudiantes is the team to beat.
    • We predict that CA Estudiantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú 2:1
    09.06.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros 1:0
    10.09.2023 Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:0
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Caseros
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colon Santa Fe852111:5617
    2Def. de Belgrano83508:3514
    3Deportivo Moron842212:8414
    4Godoy Cruz83418:6213
    5Deportivo Madryn833211:7412
    6Los Andes83326:3312
    7San Miguel83328:8012
    8Racing Cordoba83235:8-311
    9Ciudad Bolivar81705:3210
    10Ferro82336:7-19
    11Acassuso83058:10-29
    12All Boys82334:6-29
    13Central Norte82333:5-29
    14CA Estudiantes83055:8-39
    15CA Mitre81527:9-28
    16San Telmo822410:13-38
    17Almirante Brown82245:8-38
    18Chaco For Ever81258:14-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy860212:10218
    2Tristan Suarez74309:2715
    3San Martin T835010:5514
    4Nueva Chicago74218:4414
    5Temperley83417:5213
    6Midland73316:3312
    7Quilmes832311:7411
    8Atl. Rafaela73226:5111
    9Gimnasia y Tiro83238:9-111
    10Club A. Guemes82339:11-29
    11Almagro82244:6-28
    12Chacarita Juniors82248:11-38
    13Agropecuario82246:9-38
    14Patronato82244:9-58
    15San Martin S.J71426:7-17
    16Atletico Atlanta72146:7-17
    17Deportivo Maipu821510:13-37
    18Colegiales82155:11-67

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