Estudiantes de Caseros vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/10/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
712
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Berterame G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villarreal M. , Sambueza R. ,
  • 46', Correa J. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 51', Saccone F. 🟨,
  • 58', Caceres F. 🟨,
  • 63', Brinone S. , Acosta E. ,
  • 63', Squie T. , Rostagno D. ,
  • 71', de la Reta J. , Silva T. ,
  • 77', Berterame G. , Lusnig L. ,
  • 80', Quinteros F. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 84', Minervino D. 🟨,
  • 87', Saccone F. , Sanchez J. M. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Caseros
64.8%
Draw
24.8%
Deportivo Maipú
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 28.5% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 26.9% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Caseros's performance.
  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Caseros that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.72)
    4.14
    (3.22)
    10.38
    (5.05)
    0.1%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Deportivo Maipú (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Maipú (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 2.
    • CA Estudiantes is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • CA Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, CA Estudiantes is the team to beat.
    • We predict that CA Estudiantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Maipú 2:1
    09.06.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros 1:0
    10.09.2023 Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:0
    Latest results of Estudiantes de Caseros
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9Agropecuario1142512:15-314
    10Quilmes1134411:8313
    11San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    12Patronato113446:10-413
    13Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    14Gimnasia y Tiro1133512:15-312
    15Chacarita Juniors113359:12-312
    16Colegiales113358:12-412
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

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