Result
11/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Deportivo Maldonado
23.9% | Draw
28.5% | Nacional Montevideo
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↓
(4) |
3.27 ↓
(3.34) |
1.96 ↑
(1.92) |
7.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Maldonado won against Nacional Montevideo?
Deportivo Maldonado has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Deportivo Maldonado?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
13.01.2026
Nacional Montevideo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
1:0
16.11.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
5:2
20.05.2024
Deportivo Maldonado
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:2
23.10.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
1:3
17.06.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Deportivo Maldonado
4:0
Latest results of Deportivo Maldonado
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Nacional | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Albion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Danubio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Progreso | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Juventud | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
