Peñarol de Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
67
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
108
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
74
Corner kicks
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Ramos J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Angulo L. , Batista F. ,
  • 46', Laxalt D. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 47', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
  • 54', Espindola M. 🟨,
  • 58', Herrera N. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 59', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Arezo M. ,
  • 67', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
  • 68', Cesar R. , Tormo S. ,
  • 68', Noble Sequeira A. M. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 71', Tabo C. 🟨,
  • 76', Espindola M. , Vila A. ,
  • 76', Cartagena S. , Lopez G. ,
  • 77', Togni G. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Fernandez L. ,
  • 82', Jesus Trindade , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 82', Gonzalez M. , Mozzone E. ,
  • 90+1', Arezo M. , Alvarez B. ,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
61.3%
Draw
23.5%
Deportivo Maldonado
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 27.5% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.58)
    3.99
    (3.39)
    6.09
    (6.95)
    7.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Maldonado will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado were as follows:
    11.10.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 2:0
    06.07.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 1:1
    07.04.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:2
    13.10.2023 Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    05.03.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo641112:6613
    2Maldonado641110:5513
    3Penarol64119:5413
    4Montevideo City63219:5411
    5Liverpool M63217:4311
    6Danubio632110:8211
    7Central Esp63127:5210
    8Nacional63127:6110
    9Defensor Sp62224:408
    10Wanderers62224:8-48
    11Cerro Largo62045:7-26
    12Albion61237:8-15
    13Progreso61235:10-55
    14Juventud61147:11-44
    15Boston River60242:7-52
    16CA Cerro60242:8-62

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