Peñarol de Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
67
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
108
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
74
Corner kicks
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Ramos J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Angulo L. , Batista F. ,
  • 46', Laxalt D. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 47', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
  • 54', Espindola M. 🟨,
  • 58', Herrera N. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 59', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Arezo M. ,
  • 67', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
  • 68', Cesar R. , Tormo S. ,
  • 68', Noble Sequeira A. M. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 71', Tabo C. 🟨,
  • 76', Espindola M. , Vila A. ,
  • 76', Cartagena S. , Lopez G. ,
  • 77', Togni G. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Fernandez L. ,
  • 82', Jesus Trindade , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 82', Gonzalez M. , Mozzone E. ,
  • 90+1', Arezo M. , Alvarez B. ,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
61.3%
Draw
23.5%
Deportivo Maldonado
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 27.5% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.58)
    3.99
    (3.39)
    6.09
    (6.95)
    7.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Maldonado will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado were as follows:
    11.10.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 2:0
    06.07.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 1:1
    07.04.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:2
    13.10.2023 Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    05.03.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Esp33006:159
    2Nacional32104:227
    3Defensor Sp32104:227
    4Maldonado32017:436
    5Penarol32016:426
    6Danubio32013:4-16
    7Racing Montevideo31117:524
    8Montevideo City31117:524
    9Albion31114:224
    10Liverpool M31114:404
    11Wanderers31113:6-34
    12Cerro Largo31022:3-13
    13Juventud30122:4-21
    14Boston River30121:4-31
    15CA Cerro30121:5-41
    16Progreso30030:6-60

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