Result
11/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Deportivo Merlo
46.7% | Draw
30% | Ituzaingó
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Merlo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.82) |
3.02 ↑
(2.97) |
3.88 ↓
(4.63) |
10.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 2.
- Deportivo Merlo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ituzaingó's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Deportivo Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Merlo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.7:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Ituzaingó?
Deportivo Merlo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituzaingó won against Deportivo Merlo?
Ituzaingó has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó were as follows:
01.07.2023
Ituzaingó
-
Deportivo Merlo
0:1
05.03.2023
Deportivo Merlo
-
Ituzaingó
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Latest results of Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal Sarandi | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Real Pilar | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Sportivo Italiano | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Argentino de Merlo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Talleres (R.E) | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | San Martin Burzaco | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Deportivo Camioneros | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Liniers | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Laferrere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | UAI Urquiza | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Flandria | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Brown Adrogue | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Deportivo Armenio | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Argentino de Quilmes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 | Dock Sud | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )
