Cajamarca vs Deportivo Municipal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal
Result
5:1
20/09/2023 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 14
Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
71.8%
Draw
17.9%
Deportivo Municipal
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 20.9% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 20% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.
  • Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.42)
    5.22
    (4.45)
    9
    (6.74)
    7.4%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 2.
    • Recent matches Cajamarca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Municipal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Municipal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Cajamarca is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cajamarca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal were as follows:
    04.10.2022 Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca 1:2
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Cusco1684429:191028
    6Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    8Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco16151014:32-188

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