Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Qualification - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
13
Total shots
109
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Gatti F. N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 70', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Mercedes
44.5%
Draw
33.9%
Deportivo Paraguayo
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 30.4% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 28.9% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mercedes's performance.
  • Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Paraguayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercedes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Paraguayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.56)
    2.93
    (2.96)
    4.61
    (2.62)
    0.5%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Mercedes (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 3.
    • Mercedes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Deportivo Paraguayo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes 0:0
    10.08.2024 Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo 2:1
    08.03.2024 Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes 0:1
    20.11.2023 Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes 0:2
    05.08.2023 Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo 0:2
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Latest results of Deportivo Paraguayo
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui32107:257
    2Lugano32105:057
    3Victoriano A32013:126
    4Mercedes32013:126
    5Sacachispas32013:4-16
    6Leandro N. Alem32016:8-26
    7CSR Espanol31115:234
    8Estrella Del Sur31115:414
    9Puerto Nuevo31113:304
    10Juventud Unida S. M31111:104
    11Argentino de Rosario30123:5-21
    12Def. de Cambaceres30123:6-31
    13Justo Jose de Urquiza30120:4-41
    14Deportivo Paraguayo30121:7-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1General Lamadrid32104:137
    2Sportivo Barracas32013:126
    3Yupanqui32014:316
    4Canuelas31204:315
    5Central Cordoba31202:115
    6Leones de Rosario31201:015
    7Central Ballester31112:114
    8Fenix31112:3-14
    9El Porvenir30302:203
    10Deportivo Espanol30212:3-12
    11Club Lujan30212:3-12
    12Atlas30210:2-22
    13Claypole30121:3-21
    14Deportivo Muniz30120:3-31

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