Result
3:2
01/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (353/417) | 86% (318/369) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.47 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (353/417) | 86% (318/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 57% (36/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (85/119) | 70% (46/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 3.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Estupinan A. ⚽, Jimenez M. S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Cano A. ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
- 61', Arizalas E. ↓, Agudelo J. ↑,
- 70', Perlaza J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 70', Goez Y. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
- 70', Pisano M. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 71', Berdugo L. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Cordoba B. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 1, Cordoba S. ⚽, Estupinan A. (A),
- 82', 3 - 1, Gil M. ⚽, Cordoba S. (A),
- 82', Quinones J. ↓, Calcaterra D. ↑,
- 82', Mejia V. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
- 87', Cordoba S. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
- 90+4', Estupinan A. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Calcaterra D. ⚽, Cordoba B. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mu4yrnwh
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
62.5% | Draw
24.7% | Cúcuta Deportivo
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pasto's performance.Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cúcuta Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pasto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cúcuta Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.83) |
3.77 ↑
(3.3) |
7.24 ↑
(4.52) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Cúcuta (1.51) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Deportivo Pasto (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Pasto will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Pasto will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cúcuta (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportivo Pasto is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Cúcuta Deportivo?
Deportivo Pasto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cúcuta Deportivo won against Deportivo Pasto?
Cúcuta Deportivo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo were as follows:
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
