Result
0:1
14/08/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (359/409) | 79% (208/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (359/409) | 79% (208/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (37/59) | 55% (33/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (59/82) | 52% (30/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Camacho D. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Berrio F. ⚽, Hurtado W. (A),
- 41', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 45', Berrio F. 🟨,
- 45+4', Palacios D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Caicedo L. ↓, Jimenez M. S. ↑,
- 46', Espinal F. ↓, Castano M. ↑,
- 46', Camacho D. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
- 47', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 49', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
- 61', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 62', Jaramillo F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
- 66', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
- 70', Montoya J. 🟨,
- 71', Rivas J. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
- 73', Rios J. 🟨,
- 74', Londono S. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
- 78', Cuervo S. 🟨,
- 80', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 80', Preciado P. 🟨,
- 83', Hurtado W. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
- 84', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 86', Caicedo J. 🟥,
- 90+5', Berrio F. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
- 90+8', Palacio J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/52249c3c
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
53.2% | Draw
29.6% | Envigado
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pasto's form might have worsened.Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Deportivo Pasto - Envigado Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.55) |
3.23 ↓
(3.69) |
5.53 ↓
(6.68) |
5.8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Envigado?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Envigado has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Deportivo Pasto is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Envigado?
Deportivo Pasto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Deportivo Pasto?
Envigado has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Envigado were as follows:
17.02.2025
Envigado
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:1
09.10.2024
Envigado
-
Deportivo Pasto
0:1
12.02.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Envigado
0:1
07.11.2023
Envigado
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:1
17.05.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Envigado
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Envigado
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | U. Magdalena | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Aguilas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Alianza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
