Result
1:0
10/04/2026 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (238/311) | 66% (175/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (238/311) | 66% (175/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (35/74) | 49% (38/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 19', Trujillo C. 🟨,
- 23', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Estupinan A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 46', Osorio Y. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 66', Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↓, Reyes V. ↑,
- 72', Gil M. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
- 73', Serje Orozco E. C. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 74', Moreno Y. ↓, Parra Y. A. ↑,
- 75', Trujillo C. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
- 82', Perlaza J. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
- 82', Estupinan A. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
- 90+3', Goez Y. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
56.5% | Draw
26% | Deportes Tolima
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pasto's performance.Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pasto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(2.24) |
3.6 ↑
(3.05) |
5.26 ↑
(3.37) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Deportivo Pasto (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
- Deportivo Pasto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes Tolima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Deportes Tolima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Deportivo Pasto is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Pasto has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo Pasto?
Deportes Tolima has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
12.07.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Deportes Tolima
3:2
27.01.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:0
02.10.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Deportes Tolima
1:1
17.09.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:2
23.07.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
