Junior Barranquilla vs Deportivo Pasto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto
Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.280.18
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
83% (346/418)73% (219/301)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.280.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.600.05
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
125
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
404
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
149
Passes
83% (346/418)73% (219/301)
Long passes
46% (24/52)40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
73% (121/166)53% (28/53)
Crosses
29% (8/28)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.210.18
Throw-ins
2411
Fouls
914
Tackles
85% (11/13)84% (16/19)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
731
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.051.60
Goals prevented
0.05-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Baez C. 🟨,
  • 28', Baez C. (Pen),
  • 39', Rios J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Baez C. , Suarez Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Castillo D. , Hurtado J. ,
  • 46', Ordonez F. , Bernal J. ,
  • 46', Bone F. , Valencia J. ,
  • 57', Gil N. 🟨,
  • 59', Chara Y. , Castrillon B. ,
  • 65', Caicedo J. 🟨,
  • 68', Caicedo L. 🟨,
  • 68', Paiva G. 🟨,
  • 70', Rivas J. , Gutierrez T. ,
  • 70', Paiva G. , Titi ,
  • 73', Mendez J. , Preciado P. ,
  • 74', Moreno D. , Esparragoza C. ,
  • 74', Guerrero J. , Herrera E. ,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Enamorado J. , Gutierrez T. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ywfj6pdm

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
74.8%
Draw
17.5%
Deportivo Pasto
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 22% 11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 20.8% 10.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Junior Barranquilla's performance.
  • Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.4)
    5.33
    (4.25)
    12.02
    (8.23)
    6.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1.
    • Junior has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Deportivo Pasto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Junior is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Junior Barranquilla 3:3
    28.08.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Junior Barranquilla 1:0
    08.02.2024 Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto 2:0
    12.08.2023 Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto 0:0
    18.02.2023 Deportivo Pasto - Junior Barranquilla 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior1694330:191131
    2Bucaramanga1593326:121430
    3Ind. Medellin1593333:211230
    4Atl. Nacional1677227:19828
    5Fortaleza1677221:16528
    6Llaneros1674516:14225
    7Deportes Tolima1572618:14423
    8Santa Fe1556416:14221
    9Aguilas1656521:22-121
    10America De Cali1655616:15120
    11Alianza1655619:21-220
    12Dep. Cali1655620:23-320
    13Once Caldas1654718:23-519
    14Pereira1646617:19-218
    15U. Magdalena1653820:26-618
    16Millonarios1552818:23-517
    17Envigado1637614:18-416
    18Dep. Pasto1627719:25-613
    19Chico1627711:23-1213
    20La Equidad152589:22-1311

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )