Result
2:1
22/07/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (215/263) | 86% (329/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (215/263) | 86% (329/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (54/72) | 75% (59/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Merheg S. J. ⚽, Ararat J. (A),
- 9', Merheg S. J. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 1, Cardona E. ⚽,
- 26', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 26', Aguilar S. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 1, Quintero D. ⚽, Ararat J. (A),
- 44', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 45+6', Zapata J. 🟥,
- 45+9', Juan Quintero 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sarmiento A. ↓, Campuzano J. ↑,
- 59', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 64', Morelos A. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 64', Uribe M. ↓, Haydar C. ↑,
- 65', Largacha J. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
- 65', Merheg S. J. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 68', Torres G. 🟨,
- 68', Rios J. 🟨,
- 72', Quinones Y. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
- 72', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
- 74', Velasco E. 🟨,
- 77', Hinestroza M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 77', Cardona E. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 78', Ararat J. ↓, Pacheco W. ↑,
- 84', Moya J. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2mbvkjcz
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pereira
21.9% | Draw
27.9% | Atlético Nacional
50.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.23 ↑
(3.15) |
3.32 ↑
(3.23) |
1.86 ↓
(2.27) |
7.4%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2.
- Pereira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Nacional is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:39. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Pereira has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Pereira?
Atlético Nacional has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
09.02.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pereira
3:0
07.11.2024
Deportivo Pereira
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
17.04.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pereira
0:1
02.11.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pereira
4:1
19.10.2023
Deportivo Pereira
-
Atlético Nacional
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Pereira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Envigado | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. Pasto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Alianza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | America De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
