Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional
Result
2:1
22/07/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.80
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
82% (215/263)86% (329/382)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.460.52
Total shots
148
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
71
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
82% (215/263)86% (329/382)
Long passes
43% (15/35)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
75% (54/72)75% (59/79)
Crosses
27% (4/15)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.88
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
1712
Tackles
57% (8/14)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3034
Clearances
1512
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.521.46
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Merheg S. J. , Ararat J. (A),
  • 9', Merheg S. J. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Cardona E. ,
  • 26', Tesillo W. 🟨,
  • 26', Aguilar S. 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 1, Quintero D. , Ararat J. (A),
  • 44', Salazar A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Zapata J. 🟥,
  • 45+9', Juan Quintero 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sarmiento A. , Campuzano J. ,
  • 59', Tesillo W. 🟨,
  • 64', Morelos A. , Rivero E. ,
  • 64', Uribe M. , Haydar C. ,
  • 65', Largacha J. , Torres G. ,
  • 65', Merheg S. J. , Perez M. ,
  • 68', Torres G. 🟨,
  • 68', Rios J. 🟨,
  • 72', Quinones Y. , Albornoz O. ,
  • 72', Kelvin Osorio , Moreno E. ,
  • 74', Velasco E. 🟨,
  • 77', Hinestroza M. , Batista F. ,
  • 77', Cardona E. , Arce B. ,
  • 78', Ararat J. , Pacheco W. ,
  • 84', Moya J. 🟥,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2mbvkjcz

Chances of winning


Deportivo Pereira
21.9%
Draw
27.9%
Atlético Nacional
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 29% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 27.8% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.23
    (3.15)
    3.32
    (3.23)
    1.86
    (2.27)
    7.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2.
    • Pereira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Nacional is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:39. (average 1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pereira 3:0
    07.11.2024 Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional 1:1
    17.04.2024 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pereira 0:1
    02.11.2023 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pereira 4:1
    19.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional 2:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional32017:436
    2Junior22005:236
    3Fortaleza22003:126
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Chico21103:124
    6Pereira31114:404
    7Alianza31112:204
    8Dep. Pasto11003:213
    9Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    10Llaneros20200:002
    11Aguilas30212:3-12
    12Bucaramanga10101:101
    13America De Cali10100:001
    14U. Magdalena10100:001
    15Envigado20110:1-11
    16Ind. Medellin20111:3-21
    17La Equidad20111:3-21
    18Dep. Cali20110:2-21
    19Millonarios00000:000
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

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