Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 18
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (271/342) | 82% (326/396) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (271/342) | 82% (326/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 56% (37/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (36/62) | 63% (84/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 100% (12/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Monroy J. ⚽,
- 19', Morelos A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Rengifo J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cardona E. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
- 61', Diaz M. 🟨,
- 61', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 62', Diaz M. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
- 63', Acosta S. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 68', Bermudez Correa J. A. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
- 69', Bello E. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 74', Pacheco W. 🟨,
- 80', Velasquez S. ↓, Rosa J. ↑,
- 81', Urrea S. 🟨,
- 86', Aguirre M. ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
- 86', Largacha J. 🟨,
- 88', Tesillo W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pereira
13.6% | Draw
21.5% | Atlético Nacional
64.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.89 ↓
(8.49) |
4.4 ↓
(4.71) |
1.45 ↑
(1.35) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2.
- Pereira has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético Nacional is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Pereira has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Pereira?
Atlético Nacional has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
22.07.2025
Deportivo Pereira
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
09.02.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pereira
3:0
07.11.2024
Deportivo Pereira
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
17.04.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pereira
0:1
02.11.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pereira
4:1
Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
