Atlético Tembetary vs Deportivo Recoleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta
Result
2:3
14/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.98
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
66% (154/232)80% (316/397)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.651.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.761.84
Total shots
813
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
47
Passes
66% (154/232)80% (316/397)
Long passes
28% (17/61)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
52% (32/62)60% (56/94)
Crosses
13% (1/8)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.04
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
74
Tackles
56% (5/9)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3745
Clearances
2410
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.840.76
Goals prevented
-1.16-1.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Rojas R. , Benitez M. (A),
  • 24', Rojas R. , Candia W. ,
  • 45+5', Sandoval H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Gayoso H. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Silva A. (Pen),
  • 69', Ferreira E. 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Sandoval H. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 73', Baez W. , Ferreira B. ,
  • 73', Coronel U. , Vargas S. ,
  • 76', Charpentier P. , Esteche J. F. ,
  • 76', Gomez A. , Perez E. ,
  • 76', Candia W. , Morinigo N. ,
  • 79', Sandoval H. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Gonzalez A. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 90+1', Romero L. , Nunez J. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Esteche J. F. ,
  • 90+7', Peralta F. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Atlético Tembetary
36.6%
Draw
29.8%
Deportivo Recoleta
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 29.1% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.2% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tembetary's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tembetary, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.19)
    3.1
    (3.2)
    2.74
    (3.25)
    8.5%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tembetary will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Recoleta will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tembetary has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Recoleta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary 1:1
    08.03.2025 Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta 2:3
    04.10.2024 Atlético Tembetary - Deportivo Recoleta 0:0
    29.06.2024 Deportivo Recoleta - Atlético Tembetary 1:1
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Trinidense32108:537
    2Cerro Porteno32104:137
    3Sp. Luqueno32103:037
    4Nacional Asuncion32103:127
    5Recoleta32018:716
    6Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    7Guarani31113:214
    82 de Mayo31112:3-14
    9Ameliano31022:4-23
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM30031:6-50

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