Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (182/245) | 81% (329/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (182/245) | 81% (329/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/93) | 57% (59/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Dominguez R. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Comas L. ⚽,
- 30', Wiechniak F. 🟨,
- 42', Franco A. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Parzajuk K. ⚽, Baez W. (A),
- 45+3', Parzajuk K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Barreto E. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
- 48', Franco T. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 1, Balbuena A. ⚽, Maggi I. (A),
- 55', Parzajuk K. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 55', Dominguez R. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
- 65', Quintana S. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 65', Franco T. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
- 69', Gonzalez A. ↓, Pacher F. ↑,
- 74', Maiz A. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 79', Diaz S. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 79', Maggi I. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 81', Comas L. 🟨,
- 81', Franco A. ↓, Canete M. ↑,
- 86', Villalba A. 🟨,
- 88', Pacher F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
40.2% | Draw
28.6% | Deportivo Recoleta
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Luqueño's form might have worsened.Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.06) |
3.27 ↓
(3.38) |
3 ↓
(3.45) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8).
- Sportivo Luqueño is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Recoleta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sportivo Luqueño might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
13.02.2026
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Luqueño
1:2
07.11.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:3
23.08.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
0:0
20.05.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
0:0
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Guarani | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14:33 | -19 | 15 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:36 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
