Sportivo Luqueño vs Deportivo Recoleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
45.1%
Draw
28%
Deportivo Recoleta
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 27.6% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 27.2% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.06)
    3.3
    (3.38)
    3.45
    (3.45)
    7.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 8).
    • Sportivo Luqueño has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Recoleta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recoleta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sportivo Luqueño will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
    13.02.2026 Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño 1:2
    07.11.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño 2:3
    23.08.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta 0:0
    20.05.2025 Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta 0:0
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion15113124:91536
    2Cerro Porteno15102325:131232
    3Ameliano1566318:12624
    4Nacional Asuncion1566322:17524
    5Sportivo Trinidense1557319:14522
    6Guarani1556421:16521
    7Libertad Asuncion1562721:16520
    8Recoleta1554620:20019
    9Rubio Nu1543810:19-915
    102 de Mayo1535711:24-1314
    11Sp. Luqueno1533916:24-812
    12San Lorenzo15051010:33-235

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