Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (341/439) | 78% (312/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (341/439) | 78% (312/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (82/141) | 61% (67/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ramos J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 47', Baez W. 🟨,
- 63', Guggiari G. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 69', Espinola A. ↓, Ocampos S. ↑,
- 75', Baez W. ↓, Hernan Perez ↑,
- 75', Ferreira B. ↓, Gayoso H. ↑,
- 82', Hernan Perez 🟨,
- 86', Comas L. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 86', Gonzalez W. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
- 86', Silva A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 86', Sandoval H. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 90', Benitez F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
41.2% | Draw
28.6% | Deportivo Recoleta
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.29) |
3.23 ↓
(3.39) |
3.07 ↑
(2.98) |
7.9%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sportivo Luqueño will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 9).
- Recent performances by Sportivo Luqueño have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Recoleta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sportivo Luqueño will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
20.05.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
0:0
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31:12 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | General Caballero JLM | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
