Result
4:2
04/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (353/417) | 77% (264/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (353/417) | 77% (264/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (62/84) | 63% (66/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -2.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽, Gonzalez H. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Franco A. (A),
- 17', Alvarez A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 18', Monzon L. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 1, Wlk A. ⚽, Parzajuk K. (A),
- 29', Caceres L. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
- 30', Quinonez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 1, Wlk A. ⚽, Espinola J. (A),
- 53', 4 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Baez W. (A),
- 57', Quinonez A. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 58', Meza Montiel D. ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
- 60', Franco A. ↓, Dominguez R. ↑,
- 60', Parzajuk K. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
- 60', Gonzalez A. ↓, Guggiari G. ↑,
- 67', Monzon L. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 71', Barrios J. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
- 71', Alfonso M. ↓, Duarte J. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 2, Galeano A. ⚽, Paez A. (A),
- 79', Espinola J. ↓, Galeano F. ↑,
- 83', Guggiari G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Baez W. ↓, Vera C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta
44.7% | Draw
29.3% | Sportivo San Lorenzo
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.99) |
3.17 ↓
(3.28) |
3.59 ↓
(3.81) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recoleta might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo San Lorenzo won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo San Lorenzo were as follows:
06.02.2026
Sportivo San Lorenzo
-
Deportivo Recoleta
0:3
16.08.2024
Sportivo San Lorenzo
-
Deportivo Recoleta
0:0
11.05.2024
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
4:2
08.07.2023
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo San Lorenzo
2:1
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
