Result
2:0
28/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (368/432) | 77% (205/267) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (368/432) | 77% (205/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 53% (24/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/113) | 64% (47/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (15/37) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Doldan J. (Own goal),
- 59', Paez E. ↓, Bobadilla C. ↑,
- 68', Vegetti P. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 69', Barrios J. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 69', Cespedes V. ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
- 81', Torres I. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
- 82', Melgarejo R. ↓, Luciatti A. ↑,
- 82', Benitez A. G. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 82', Dominguez F. ↓, Servin L. J. ↑,
- 85', Alvarez A. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
- 90', Torres J. 🟨,
- 90', Quinonez W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dominguez C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Doldan J. 🟨,
- 90+13', Servin L. J. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
- 90+15', 2 - 0, Dominguez C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
67.3% | Draw
20.9% | Sportivo San Lorenzo
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-2%)
Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.31) |
4.52 ↓
(5.07) |
7.9 ↓
(9.2) |
7.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 12).
- Cerro Porteño is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sportivo San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Cerro Porteño will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Cerro Porteño has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo San Lorenzo won against Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo were as follows:
27.01.2026
Sportivo San Lorenzo
-
Cerro Porteño
2:4
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion ✔ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olimpia Asuncion is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
