Result
0:0
25/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (472/576) | 60% (143/239) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (472/576) | 60% (143/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (38/76) | 46% (31/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (139/186) | 48% (46/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Mino F. 🟨,
- 40', Robertone L. 🟨,
- 40', Goitia J. 🟨,
- 41', Machuca I. 🟨,
- 41', Watson N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Diaz A. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
- 55', Watson N. ↓, Monje P. ↑,
- 71', Robertone L. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
- 71', Machuca I. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
- 71', Goitia J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 80', Garcia J. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
- 84', Herrera J. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
- 84', Alonso A. ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
48.6% | Draw
33.1% | Deportivo Riestra
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.92) |
2.86 ↓
(2.98) |
5.1 ↑
(4.83) |
6%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Vélez (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vélez Sársfield will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- Vélez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportivo Riestra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vélez is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Valdes D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Diaz A.
(Inactive)
Gallo R.
(Injury)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Vélez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Deportivo Riestra?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Vélez Sársfield?
Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
06.10.2025
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:2
28.03.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Deportivo Riestra
0:1
11.11.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
15.02.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:2
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo ✔ | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. ✔ | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
