Result
2:2
06/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (111/214) | 79% (442/558) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (111/214) | 79% (442/558) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (34/75) | 41% (32/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 32% (30/94) | 58% (78/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Lagos A. 🟨,
- 6', Monje P. 🟨,
- 26', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 34', Diaz A. 🟨,
- 34', Magallan L. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Magallan L. ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
- 57', Mino F. 🟨,
- 61', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 64', Lagos A. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 65', Galvan T. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 66', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
- 73', Herrera J. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
- 73', Diaz A. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
- 79', Baeza C. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
- 80', Alonso A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Ramirez P. (Own goal),
- 90', Braian Romero ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 90+1', Pizzini F. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Riestra
29.9% | Draw
34.4% | Vélez Sársfield
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Riestra's form might have worsened.Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Riestra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(2.44) |
2.74 ↓
(3.1) |
2.61 ↓
(3) |
6.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Deportivo Riestra is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Vélez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R.
(Ankle Injury)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Andrada T.
(International duty)
Bouzat A.
(Yellow Cards)
Carrizo M.
(International duty)
Cavanagh T.
(Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Lanzini M.
(Inactive)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Vélez: Bouzat A.
(Injury)
Gordon J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Vélez Sársfield?
Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Deportivo Riestra?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
28.03.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Deportivo Riestra
0:1
11.11.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
15.02.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:2
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
