Result
0:1
28/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 77% | 23% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (461/566) | 46% (80/175) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (461/566) | 46% (80/175) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (37/67) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (144/203) | 39% (28/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (4/35) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 86% (19/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 58 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Alonso A. (A),
- 22', Ramirez P. 🟨,
- 40', Arce I. 🟨,
- 43', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 45', Alonso A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pizzini F. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 58', Alonso A. ↓, Sayavedra R. ↑,
- 63', Montoro A. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 63', Baeza C. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
- 67', Randazzo J. 🟨,
- 72', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
- 73', Herrera J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 73', Mino F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 84', Gordon J. ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
- 84', Benegas N. ↓, Guille B. ↑,
- 85', Goitia J. ↓, Ortiz S. ↑,
- 86', Braian Romero 🟨,
- 90+1', Guille B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
48.3% | Draw
31.3% | Deportivo Riestra
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(1.96) |
3 ↓
(3.03) |
4.63 ↑
(4.56) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra?
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(97 of 102 users predict this - 95.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.91% – 99.29%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Vélez is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Deportivo Riestra?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Vélez Sársfield?
Deportivo Riestra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
11.11.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
15.02.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:2
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Atl. Tucuman | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Lanus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Instituto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
