Deportivo Riestra vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
06/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.32
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
52% (111/214)79% (442/558)
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.000.67
Total shots
107
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
914
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1121
Passes
52% (111/214)79% (442/558)
Long passes
45% (34/75)41% (32/78)
Passes in final third
32% (30/94)58% (78/134)
Crosses
10% (1/10)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.62
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
2111
Tackles
54% (13/24)50% (5/10)
Duels won
6454
Clearances
3323
Interceptions
2112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.671.00
Goals prevented
-0.33-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Lagos A. 🟨,
  • 6', Monje P. 🟨,
  • 26', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 34', Diaz A. 🟨,
  • 34', Magallan L. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Diaz A. , Monje P. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Magallan L. , Pellegrini M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Herrera J. , Monje P. (A),
  • 57', Mino F. 🟨,
  • 61', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 64', Lagos A. , Lanzini M. ,
  • 65', Galvan T. , Valdes D. ,
  • 66', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
  • 73', Herrera J. , Benegas N. ,
  • 73', Diaz A. , Obredor G. ,
  • 79', Baeza C. , Monzon F. ,
  • 80', Alonso A. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Ramirez P. (Own goal),
  • 90', Braian Romero , Santos M. ,
  • 90+1', Pizzini F. , Silvero T. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Riestra
29.9%
Draw
34.4%
Vélez Sársfield
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 30.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 29.5% 30.4%

Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.17
(2.44)
2.74
(3.1)
2.61
(3)
6.3%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Deportivo Riestra (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Deportivo Riestra (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 6 - 120%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Deportivo Riestra is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Vélez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Ankle Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Andrada T. (International duty) Bouzat A. (Yellow Cards) Carrizo M. (International duty) Cavanagh T. (Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Lanzini M. (Inactive) Machuca I. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Vélez: Bouzat A. (Injury) Gordon J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra 0:1
    11.11.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    15.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:2
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newells Old Boys00000:000
    2Lanus00000:000
    3Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    4San Lorenzo00000:000
    5Independiente00000:000
    6Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    7Boca Juniors00000:000
    8Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    9Talleres Cordoba00000:000
    10Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    11Instituto00000:000
    12Platense00000:000
    13Dep. Riestra00000:000
    14Central Cordoba00000:000
    15Gimnasia Mendoza00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central00000:000
    2Tigre00000:000
    3Argentinos Jrs00000:000
    4Banfield00000:000
    5Gimnasia L.P00000:000
    6Racing Club00000:000
    7Huracan00000:000
    8River Plate00000:000
    9Belgrano00000:000
    10Aldosivi00000:000
    11Atl. Tucuman00000:000
    12Ind. Rivadavia00000:000
    13Sarmiento Junin00000:000
    14Barracas Central00000:000
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)