Deportivo Riestra vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	0.32
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
52% (111/214)	79% (442/558)
Yellow Cards
4	6
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	0.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.00	0.67
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
9	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	21
Passes
52% (111/214)	79% (442/558)
Long passes
45% (34/75)	41% (32/78)
Passes in final third
32% (30/94)	58% (78/134)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	0.62
Throw-ins
11	21
Fouls
21	11
Tackles
54% (13/24)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
64	54
Clearances
33	23
Interceptions
21	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.67	1.00
Goals prevented
-0.33	-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Lagos A. 🟨,
6', Monje P. 🟨,
26', Baeza C. 🟨,
34', Diaz A. 🟨,
34', Magallan L. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Magallan L. ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Monje P. (A),
57', Mino F. 🟨,
61', Gomez E. 🟨,
64', Lagos A. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
65', Galvan T. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
66', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
73', Herrera J. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
73', Diaz A. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
79', Baeza C. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
80', Alonso A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Ramirez P. (Own goal),
90', Braian Romero ↓, Santos M. ↑,
90+1', Pizzini F. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Deportivo Riestra
29.9%

Draw
34.4%

Vélez Sársfield
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.5%

30.4%

Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.44)	2.74 ↓ (3.1)	2.61 ↓ (3)	6.3% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 7 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Deportivo Riestra (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Deportivo Riestra (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Deportivo Riestra is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Vélez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Vélez might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Ankle Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Vélez: Andrada T. (International duty) Bouzat A. (Yellow Cards) Carrizo M. (International duty) Cavanagh T. (Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Lanzini M. (Inactive) Machuca I. (Suspended)
There are questionable in Vélez: Bouzat A. (Injury) Gordon J. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Vélez Sársfield?

Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Deportivo Riestra?

Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:

28.03.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra 0:1

11.11.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:1

15.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:2

Latest results of Deportivo Riestra

28.09.2025 River Plate - Deportivo Riestra 1:2 ✺

19.09.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia La Plata 1:0 ✺

12.09.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Central Córdoba 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra 0:1 ✺

25.08.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Sarmiento de Junín 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Vélez Sársfield

29.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán 3:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Racing - Vélez Sársfield 1:0 ✺

19.09.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield 1:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Racing 0:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Vélez Sársfield 0:0 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield	4	3	1	0	6:3	3	10
2	Lanus	4	2	2	0	8:6	2	8
3	Estudiantes L.P	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
4	Defensa y Justicia	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
5	Platense	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
6	Boca Juniors	4	2	0	2	5:4	1	6
7	Independiente	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
8	San Lorenzo	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
9	Gimnasia Mendoza	4	2	0	2	2:5	-3	6
10	Union de Santa Fe	4	1	1	2	5:3	2	4
11	Talleres Cordoba	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
12	Central Cordoba	4	1	1	2	1:2	-1	4
13	Instituto	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
14	Dep. Riestra	4	0	1	3	1:4	-3	1
15	Newells Old Boys	4	0	1	3	4:8	-4	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	4	4	0	0	7:3	4	12
2	Tigre	4	3	1	0	10:3	7	10
3	Belgrano	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
4	River Plate	4	2	1	1	4:4	0	7
5	Sarmiento Junin	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
6	Gimnasia L.P	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
7	Barracas Central	4	1	2	1	3:2	1	5
8	Rosario Central	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Huracan	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
10	Argentinos Jrs	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
11	Banfield	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
12	Aldosivi	4	0	3	1	2:4	-2	3
13	Racing Club	4	1	0	3	5:8	-3	3
14	Atl. Tucuman	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)