Vélez Sársfield vs Deportivo Riestra: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires).

: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11
Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.41
Ball Possession
77%	23%
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
81% (461/566)	46% (80/175)
Yellow Cards
2	7
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	0.72
Total shots
10	8
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
3	4
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
21	5
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
20	9
Passes
81% (461/566)	46% (80/175)
Long passes
55% (37/67)	39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
71% (144/203)	39% (28/72)
Crosses
11% (4/35)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	0.31
Fouls
9	20
Tackles
61% (14/23)	86% (19/22)
Duels won
70	58
Clearances Total
10	45
Interceptions
12	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.72	0.73
Goals prevented
-0.28	0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Alonso A. (A),
22', Ramirez P. 🟨,
40', Arce I. 🟨,
43', Gomez E. 🟨,
45', Alonso A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pizzini F. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
58', Alonso A. ↓, Sayavedra R. ↑,
63', Montoro A. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
63', Baeza C. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
67', Randazzo J. 🟨,
72', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
73', Herrera J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
73', Mino F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
84', Gordon J. ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
84', Benegas N. ↓, Guille B. ↑,
85', Goitia J. ↓, Ortiz S. ↑,
86', Braian Romero 🟨,
90+1', Guille B. 🟨,
90+2', Bracamonte M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vélez Sársfield
48.3%

Draw
31.3%

Deportivo Riestra
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

31.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

31%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.96)	3 ↓ (3.03)	4.63 ↑ (4.56)	6% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra?

Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield will win (97 of 102 users predict this - 95.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.91% – 99.29%. The data is statistically significant.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Vélez is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Deportivo Riestra?

Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Vélez Sársfield?

Deportivo Riestra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:

11.11.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:1

15.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield 1:2

Latest results of Vélez Sársfield

07.03.2025 Vélez Sársfield - San Martín de San Juan 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Ferrocarril Midland 1:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:0 ✺

17.02.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Godoy Cruz 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Riestra

15.03.2025 Deportivo Riestra - River Plate 0:0 ✺

10.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra 1:1 ✺

05.03.2025 Deportivo Riestra - San Telmo 3:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra 0:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Deportivo Riestra - Talleres de Córdoba 0:0 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Clausura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aldosivi	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
2	Central Cordoba	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
3	Newells Old Boys	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Tigre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Argentinos Jrs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Banfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Racing Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Huracan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Estudiantes L.P	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Boca Juniors	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Belgrano	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Union de Santa Fe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Defensa y Justicia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Ind. Rivadavia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Barracas Central	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Lorenzo	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
2	Rosario Central	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
3	Godoy Cruz	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
4	Lanus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	San Martin S.J	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Gimnasia L.P	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Velez Sarsfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Independiente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	River Plate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Atl. Tucuman	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Instituto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Platense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Sarmiento Junin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Dep. Riestra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Talleres Cordoba	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional