Result
0:1
28/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | TNT Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.48 | 0.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
77% | 23% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
81% (461/566) | 46% (80/175) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 7 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.48 | 0.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.73 | 0.72 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 5 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
81% (461/566) | 46% (80/175) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (37/67) | 39% (25/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (144/203) | 39% (28/72) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (4/35) | 33% (2/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.06 | 0.31 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (14/23) | 86% (19/22) |
Duels won |
---|
70 | 58 |
Clearances Total |
---|
10 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.72 | 0.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.28 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Alonso A. (A),
- 22', Ramirez P. 🟨,
- 40', Arce I. 🟨,
- 43', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 45', Alonso A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pizzini F. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 58', Alonso A. ↓, Sayavedra R. ↑,
- 63', Montoro A. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 63', Baeza C. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
- 67', Randazzo J. 🟨,
- 72', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
- 73', Herrera J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 73', Mino F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 84', Gordon J. ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
- 84', Benegas N. ↓, Guille B. ↑,
- 85', Goitia J. ↓, Ortiz S. ↑,
- 86', Braian Romero 🟨,
- 90+1', Guille B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield 48.3% | Draw 31.3% | Deportivo Riestra 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↓ (1.96) |
3 ↓ (3.03) |
4.63 ↑ (4.56) |
6% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra?
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(97 of 102 users predict this - 95.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.91% – 99.29%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Vélez is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Deportivo Riestra?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Vélez Sársfield?
Deportivo Riestra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
11.11.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
15.02.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:2
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)