Result
0:0
25/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (472/576) | 60% (143/239) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (472/576) | 60% (143/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (38/76) | 46% (31/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (139/186) | 48% (46/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Mino F. 🟨,
- 40', Robertone L. 🟨,
- 40', Goitia J. 🟨,
- 41', Machuca I. 🟨,
- 41', Watson N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gomez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Diaz A. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
- 55', Watson N. ↓, Monje P. ↑,
- 71', Robertone L. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
- 71', Machuca I. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
- 71', Goitia J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 80', Garcia J. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
- 84', Herrera J. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
- 84', Alonso A. ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
48.6% | Draw
33.1% | Deportivo Riestra
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.92) |
2.86 ↓
(2.98) |
5.1 ↑
(4.83) |
6%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Vélez (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vélez Sársfield will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- Vélez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportivo Riestra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vélez is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Valdes D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Diaz A.
(Inactive)
Gallo R.
(Injury)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Vélez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Deportivo Riestra?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Riestra won against Vélez Sársfield?
Deportivo Riestra has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra were as follows:
06.10.2025
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:2
28.03.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Deportivo Riestra
0:1
11.11.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
15.02.2024
Deportivo Riestra
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:2
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
