Result
2:4
22/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 4
- Referee: Velasquez A. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (255/320) | 83% (369/442) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 2.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (255/320) | 83% (369/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 56% (42/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/107) | 61% (60/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (10/33) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.88 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | 1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Saggiomo D. ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
- 15', Cova M. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 1, Tortolero E. (Pen),
- 26', Camargo J. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 2, Castillo B. ⚽, Cova M. (A),
- 33', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
- 45+2', Tortolero E. 🟨,
- 45+6', Perez J. 🟨,
- 45+7', Gonzalez G. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Nunez M. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
- 55', Tortolero E. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 63', Castillo B. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
- 63', Castillo J. ↓, Duarte Arias J. D. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 3, Cano L. ⚽,
- 68', Berrios J. ↓, Robert Hernandez ↑,
- 71', Canozales C. 🟨,
- 74', Requena J. ↓, Fioravanti L. ↑,
- 74', Tamiche E. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 78', Pernia M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 78', Saggiomo D. ↓, Calzadilla C. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 4, Calzadilla C. ⚽, Cano L. (A),
- 90+1', 2 - 4, Sanchez J. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Carabobo
36.7% | Draw
30.6% | Deportivo Táchira
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Táchira's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Táchira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.32) |
3.01 ↑
(2.8) |
2.81 ↓
(3.35) |
8.7%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Deportivo Táchira is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 0.
- Recent form of Carabobo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Deportivo Táchira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Deportivo Táchira has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Deportivo Táchira?
Carabobo has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Táchira won against Carabobo?
Deportivo Táchira has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira were as follows:
17.05.2025
Deportivo Táchira
-
Carabobo
1:0
27.04.2025
Carabobo
-
Deportivo Táchira
0:0
08.12.2024
Carabobo
-
Deportivo Táchira
0:1
01.12.2024
Deportivo Táchira
-
Carabobo
1:1
24.11.2024
Deportivo Táchira
-
Carabobo
4:1
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Caracas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Monagas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Anzoategui FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Metropolitanos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Universidad Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Portuguesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Merida | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
