Result
2:3
28/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (341/408) | 86% (367/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (341/408) | 86% (367/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 67% (39/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/108) | 74% (70/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Castillo B. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Rosales R. ⚽,
- 39', Requena J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Ortiz K. ↓, Lobo J. ↑,
- 48', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 51', Rosales R. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
- 57', Marquez J. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, Cova M. ⚽, Saggiomo D. (A),
- 64', Castillo B. ↓, Balza J. ↑,
- 69', Romero A. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 69', Rivera J. ↓, Garcia Mejia M. Y. ↑,
- 73', Pena A. 🟨,
- 73', Saggiomo D. 🟨,
- 78', Hernandez J. ↓, Paez G. ↑,
- 78', Pena A. ↓, Infante J. ↑,
- 79', Cova M. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Ortiz J. ⚽, Balza J. (A),
- 90', Rosales R. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
- 90', Sosa C. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Moreno J. ⚽,
- 90+7', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes de Mérida
27.7% | Draw
30.5% | Deportivo Táchira
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Táchira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Táchira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↓
(3.7) |
3.02 ↓
(3.25) |
2.2 ↑
(1.92) |
8.6%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Est de Mérida won 1.
- Est de Mérida is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Deportivo Táchira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Deportivo Táchira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Deportivo Táchira have a series of home games.
- Deportivo Táchira will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Est de Mérida won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:34 (average 1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Deportivo Táchira?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Táchira won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Deportivo Táchira has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira were as follows:
16.07.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Deportivo Táchira
1:1
04.02.2024
Deportivo Táchira
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
5:1
08.10.2023
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Deportivo Táchira
1:3
08.03.2023
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Deportivo Táchira
2:1
05.02.2023
Deportivo Táchira
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
3:0
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Latest results of Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Caracas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Monagas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Universidad Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Metropolitanos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Portuguesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Anzoategui FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
