Deportivo Xinabajul vs Marquense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Guatemala Liga Nacional Deportivo Xinabajul - Marquense
Result
2:0
05/03/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
guatemalaGuatemalaTigo Sports
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
106
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
65
Corner Kicks
36
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Hernandez Y. ,
  • 28', Yori E. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodas M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodas I. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 46', Merida K. , de Leon F. ,
  • 67', Rocha K. 🟨,
  • 73', Estrada C. 🟥,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Aquino D. ,
  • 79', Rocha K. , Pineda K. ,
  • 80', Gonzalez F. , Zuniga E. ,
  • 80', Aquino D. , Amaral U. ,
  • 80', Flores D. , de Leon Wug F. ,
  • 84', Ceballos M. 🟨,
  • 84', Oliva Calito J. J. , Alonzo D. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Xinabajul
47.1%
Draw
28.7%
Marquense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 28.2% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 29.2% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Xinabajul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Xinabajul's performance.
  • Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Xinabajul that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Xinabajul - Marquense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.4)
    3.21
    (3.24)
    3.79
    (2.71)
    8.6%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Xinabajul is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Marquense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Xinabajul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Xinabajul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Xinabajul - Marquense were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Marquense - Deportivo Xinabajul 2:0
    29.09.2024 Deportivo Xinabajul - Marquense 3:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Xinabajul
    Latest results of Marquense
    02.03.2025 Malacateco - Marquense 1:0
    23.02.2025 Marquense - Municipal 0:0
    16.02.2025 Xelajú - Marquense 0:0
    Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Mixco33004:139
    2Municipal32105:327
    3Antigua32015:236
    4Deportivo Achuapa31204:225
    5Comunicaciones31114:314
    6Aurora F.C31113:304
    7Xelaju31111:2-14
    8Coban Imperial31021:2-13
    9Mictlan30212:4-22
    10Marquense30211:4-32
    11Malacateco30123:5-21
    12Guastatoya30122:4-21

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)