Exeter City vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Exeter City - Derby County
Result
0:3
13/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
25.9%
Draw
27.2%
Derby County
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 25.6% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 28.4% 57.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Exeter City - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (4.23)
    3.43
    (3.69)
    2.01
    (1.81)
    6.5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Exeter City - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Exeter is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Derby will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Derby County were as follows:
    24.10.2023 Derby County - Exeter City 2:0
    18.04.2023 Exeter City - Derby County 1:2
    25.10.2022 Derby County - Exeter City 0:0
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Exeter1451814:14016
    14Wigan1344516:17-116
    15Luton1251614:15-116
    16Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    17Reading1335514:18-414
    18Rotherham1242612:16-414
    19Wycombe1334615:16-113
    20Port Vale1334611:12-113
    21Plymouth1341817:23-613
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two