Result
0:3
13/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 33
- Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Exeter City
25.9% | Draw
27.2% | Derby County
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Exeter City - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↓
(4.23) |
3.43 ↓
(3.69) |
2.01 ↑
(1.81) |
6.5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Exeter is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Derby will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Derby County?
Exeter City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Exeter City?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Derby County were as follows:
24.10.2023
Derby County
-
Exeter City
2:0
18.04.2023
Exeter City
-
Derby County
1:2
25.10.2022
Derby County
-
Exeter City
0:0
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Derby County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 50 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
