Forest Green Rovers vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Forest Green Rovers - Derby County
Result
0:2
07/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Forest Green Rovers
16.2%
Draw
24.5%
Derby County
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.4% 25.9% 51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 25.7% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forest Green Rovers's form might have worsened.
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Forest Green Rovers - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.82
    (4.15)
    3.83
    (3.6)
    1.6
    (1.8)
    5.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Forest Green Rovers - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Derby will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
    • Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (92.24%), project points - 31, currently - 26, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Derby has the most likely position - 6 (29.21%), project points - 76, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), a small chance of promoted (10%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 13, small importance 13, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forest Green Rovers - Derby County were as follows:
    17.12.2022 Derby County - Forest Green Rovers 4:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff54107:1613
    2Huddersfield540110:3712
    3Stevenage54018:4412
    4Bradford City53207:4311
    5Stockport County53119:6310
    6Barnsley53118:6210
    7Lincoln53117:5210
    8Doncaster53115:4110
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Rotherham41124:7-34
    18Northampton51133:6-34
    19Plymouth51044:9-53
    20Blackpool51046:12-63
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two