Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 18
- Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (451/534) | 63% (112/179) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (451/534) | 63% (112/179) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (131/179) | 48% (35/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Agyemang P. ⚽, Salvesen L. (A),
- 22', Clark B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Browne A. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
- 53', Hansen S. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
- 67', Elder C. 🟨,
- 71', Conway T. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
- 71', Burgzorg D. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Targett M. ⚽, Hackney H. (A),
- 79', Salvesen L. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 80', Ward J. ↓, Nyambe R. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Whittaker M. ⚽, Hackney H. (A),
- 87', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 88', Clark B. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 88', Langas S. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
- 89', Whittaker M. ↓, Baptiste A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
53.7% | Draw
26% | Derby County
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Middlesbrough - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.71) |
3.65 ↓
(3.71) |
4.66 ↓
(4.89) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2.
- In recent matches, Middlesbrough has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derby is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Middlesbrough is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Kante A.
(Groin Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Inactive)
Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morris C.
(Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Injury)
Travis L.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G.
(Inactive)
Fry D.
(Injury)
Morris A.
(Injury)
Strelec D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Derby: Brewster R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Derby County?
Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Middlesbrough?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Derby County were as follows:
01.03.2025
Middlesbrough
-
Derby County
1:0
17.08.2024
Derby County
-
Middlesbrough
1:0
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 50:21 | 29 | 43 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 28:20 | 8 | 36 |
| 3 | Millwall | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 33:19 | 14 | 31 |
| 5 | Preston | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Stoke | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Hull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | QPR | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Southampton | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 27 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Watford | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 27 |
| 14 | Leicester | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 27 |
| 15 | Derby | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 26 |
| 16 | West Brom | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 25 |
| 17 | Charlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 23 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 24:28 | -4 | 22 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 21 |
| 20 | Swansea | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 17 |
| 23 | Norwich | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 13 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14:36 | -22 | -10 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
