Result
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Derby County
31% | Draw
29.1% | Middlesbrough
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Derby County - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.94) |
3.23 ↓
(3.3) |
2.37 ↓
(2.41) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derby won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Middlesbrough?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Derby County?
Middlesbrough has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Middlesbrough were as follows:
29.11.2025
Middlesbrough
-
Derby County
2:1
01.03.2025
Middlesbrough
-
Derby County
1:0
17.08.2024
Derby County
-
Middlesbrough
1:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 54:25 | 29 | 51 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Hull | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 40:37 | 3 | 41 |
| 5 | Millwall | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | -5 | 39 |
| 6 | Watford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Preston | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 9 | QPR | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Stoke | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leicester | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 34 |
| 13 | Southampton | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 32 |
| 14 | Derby | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 32 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:31 | 1 | 31 |
| 16 | West Brom | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 29 |
| 18 | Swansea | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 25:31 | -6 | 29 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 20 | Charlton | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 27 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 22 |
| 23 | Norwich | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 18:45 | -27 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
