Result
1:0
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 35
- Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, Fox Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (481/565) | 69% (206/300) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 77% (141/182) | 53% (48/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 55% (12/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Ayling L. ↓, Giles R. ↑,
- 65', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 72', Forss M. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
- 76', Yates J. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 76', Armstrong H. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
- 76', Harness M. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ⚽,
- 81', Azaz F. 🟨,
- 84', Jackson K. ↓, Roofe K. ↑,
- 84', Azaz F. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
- 84', Conway T. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
62.3% | Draw
22.6% | Derby County
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Middlesbrough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Middlesbrough - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.78) |
4.22 ↑
(3.67) |
6.35 ↑
(4.48) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Brynn S.
(Injury)
Dieng S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Doak B.
(Thigh Injury)
McGree R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Ward J.
(Injury)
Wilson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Phillips N.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Derby County?
Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Middlesbrough?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Derby County were as follows:
17.08.2024
Derby County
-
Middlesbrough
1:0
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
