Result
1:0
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 35
- Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, Fox Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Viaplay |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3 |
South-america | ESPN 5 South |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.97 | 0.18 |
Ball Possession |
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65% | 35% |
Goal Attempts |
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18 | 5 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 1 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
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10 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 9 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Fouls |
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9 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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36 | 16 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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24 | 11 |
Passes |
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85% (481/565) | 69% (206/300) |
Passes in the final third |
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77% (141/182) | 53% (48/90) |
Crosses |
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12% (2/17) | 29% (4/14) |
Tackles |
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87% (13/15) | 55% (12/22) |
Clearances Total |
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23 | 25 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Ayling L. ↓, Giles R. ↑,
- 65', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 72', Forss M. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
- 76', Yates J. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 76', Armstrong H. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
- 76', Harness M. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ⚽,
- 81', Azaz F. 🟨,
- 84', Jackson K. ↓, Roofe K. ↑,
- 84', Azaz F. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
- 84', Conway T. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough 62.3% | Draw 22.6% | Derby County 15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Middlesbrough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Middlesbrough - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↓ (1.78) |
4.22 ↑ (3.67) |
6.35 ↑ (4.48) |
4.6% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Brynn S.
(Injury)
Dieng S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Doak B.
(Thigh Injury)
McGree R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Ward J.
(Injury)
Wilson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Phillips N.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Derby County?
Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Middlesbrough?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Derby County were as follows:
17.08.2024
Derby County
-
Middlesbrough
1:0
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One