Derby County vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 25
Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.21
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
7	19
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
4	9
Passes
73% (180/247)	88% (466/532)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.21	1.04
Total shots
7	19
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
1	10
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
4	9
Shots outside the Box
3	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
4	9
Touches in opposition box
9	22
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
73% (180/247)	88% (466/532)
Long passes
44% (23/52)	54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
46% (37/81)	80% (138/173)
Crosses
38% (3/8)	22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	0.85
Throw-ins
13	19
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
50% (9/18)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
46	44
Clearances
36	16
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.04	1.21
Goals prevented
1.04	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sene M. K. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
59', Elder C. 🟨,
59', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
59', Brewster R. ↓, Brereton Diaz B. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Clark B. ⚽, Salvesen L. (A),
73', Salvesen L. 🟨,
76', Brittain C. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
77', Morris A. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
78', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
84', Gilbert A. 🟨,
87', Bangura A. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
88', Conway T. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
90+4', Targett M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Derby County
31%

Draw
28.9%

Middlesbrough
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

29.7%

37.8%

Derby County - Middlesbrough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.94)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.37 ↓ (2.41)	6.1% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Derby County - Middlesbrough?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 28.4% – 67.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 2 - 50%). Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Hamstring Injury) Morris C. (Ankle Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury) Jones A. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derby won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Middlesbrough?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Derby County?

Middlesbrough has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Middlesbrough were as follows:

29.11.2025 Middlesbrough - Derby County 2:1

01.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Derby County 1:0

17.08.2024 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0

Latest results of Derby County

29.12.2025 Leicester City - Derby County 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Birmingham City - Derby County 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Derby County - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺

15.12.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County 0:3 ✺

10.12.2025 Derby County - Millwall 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Middlesbrough

29.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Hull City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Bristol City - Middlesbrough 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers 3:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough 1:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One