Middlesbrough vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Middlesbrough - Derby County
Result
1:0
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 35
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hungaryHungaryNet4+
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polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.18
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
185
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
70
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Shots inside the Box
81
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
139
Offsides
10
Fouls
913
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
3616
Touches in the Opposition Box
2411
Passes
85% (481/565)69% (206/300)
Passes in the final third
77% (141/182)53% (48/90)
Crosses
12% (2/17)29% (4/14)
Tackles
87% (13/15)55% (12/22)
Clearances Total
2325
Interceptions
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Ayling L. , Giles R. ,
  • 65', Barkhuizen T. , Thompson L. ,
  • 72', Forss M. , Iheanacho K. ,
  • 76', Yates J. , Salvesen L. ,
  • 76', Armstrong H. , Osborn B. ,
  • 76', Harness M. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ,
  • 81', Azaz F. 🟨,
  • 84', Jackson K. , Roofe K. ,
  • 84', Azaz F. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 84', Conway T. , Iling Junior S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
62.3%
Draw
22.6%
Derby County
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 25.8% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 25.8% 21.1%

Middlesbrough - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.54
(1.78)
4.22
(3.67)
6.35
(4.48)
4.6%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.07%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Brynn S. (Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) McGree R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Injury) Wilson K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Phillips N. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Derby County were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry15104140:132734
    2Middlesbrough1585219:13629
    3Stoke1583421:101127
    4Preston1575320:14626
    5Hull1574426:24225
    6Millwall1574417:20-325
    7Ipswich1465326:161023
    8Bristol City1565422:18423
    9Charlton1565416:12423
    10Derby1565420:19123
    11Birmingham1563620:17321
    12Leicester1556418:16221
    13Wrexham1556420:19121
    14West Brom1563614:16-221
    15Watford1555519:18120
    16QPR1554617:23-619
    17Southampton1546518:21-318
    18Swansea1545615:19-417
    19Blackburn1451814:19-516
    20Portsmouth1535712:20-814
    21Oxford Utd1534816:22-613
    22Sheffield Utd15311111:26-1510
    23Norwich15231014:23-99
    24Sheffield Wed1515912:29-17-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One