West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 5
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.31
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
87% (509/584)70% (212/301)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.20
Total shots
184
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
108
Passes
87% (509/584)70% (212/301)
Long passes
56% (28/50)29% (19/65)
Passes in final third
79% (143/180)39% (24/61)
Crosses
19% (9/48)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.24
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
810
Tackles
88% (7/8)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
1343
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.200.24
Goals prevented
-0.800.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Travis L. 🟨,
  • 62', Styles C. 🟨,
  • 70', Brereton Diaz B. , Agyemang P. ,
  • 74', Wallace J. , Iling Junior S. ,
  • 74', Mowatt A. , Collyer T. ,
  • 81', Clark B. , Weimann A. ,
  • 83', Johnston M. , Maja J. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Weimann A. , Agyemang P. (A),
  • 89', Sanderson D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


West Bromwich Albion
52.7%
Draw
28.4%
Derby County
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 26.9% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 26.6% 20.3%

West Bromwich Albion - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.81
(1.8)
3.32
(3.51)
5.06
(4.61)
5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for West Bromwich Albion - Derby County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: West Bromwich Albion will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 0.
    • West Bromwich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, West Bromwich is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in West Bromwich: Bany T. (Muscle Injury) Dike D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P. (Hernia) Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Ebuka C. (Injury) Langas S. (Knee Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between West Bromwich Albion - Derby County were as follows:
    12.08.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Derby County 1:2
    21.04.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Derby County 1:3
    26.12.2024 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 2:1
    23.08.2022 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:0
    Latest results of West Bromwich Albion
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry19134250:212943
    2Middlesbrough19106328:20836
    3Millwall19104523:25-234
    4Ipswich1987433:191431
    5Preston1987426:20631
    6Stoke1993726:18830
    7Bristol City1985626:21529
    8Birmingham1984728:23528
    9Hull1984731:34-328
    10QPR1984725:29-428
    11Southampton1976631:26527
    12Wrexham1969424:21327
    13Watford1976627:25227
    14Leicester1976625:24127
    15Derby1975726:28-226
    16West Brom1974821:25-425
    17Charlton1865718:23-523
    18Sheffield Utd19711124:28-422
    19Blackburn1863918:23-521
    20Swansea1955920:27-720
    21Oxford Utd1946920:27-718
    22Portsmouth1845915:25-1017
    23Norwich19341221:32-1113
    24Sheffield Wed18151214:36-22-10

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