Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 5
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (509/584) | 70% (212/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (509/584) | 70% (212/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 29% (19/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (143/180) | 39% (24/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (9/48) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Travis L. 🟨,
- 62', Styles C. 🟨,
- 70', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Agyemang P. ↑,
- 74', Wallace J. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
- 74', Mowatt A. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
- 81', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 83', Johnston M. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 1, Weimann A. ⚽, Agyemang P. (A),
- 89', Sanderson D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
West Bromwich Albion
52.7% | Draw
28.4% | Derby County
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
West Bromwich Albion - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.8) |
3.32 ↓
(3.51) |
5.06 ↑
(4.61) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for West Bromwich Albion - Derby County?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
West Bromwich Albion will win
(15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 0.
- West Bromwich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, West Bromwich is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in West Bromwich: Bany T.
(Muscle Injury)
Dike D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Hernia)
Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ebuka C.
(Injury)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has West Bromwich Albion won against Derby County?
West Bromwich Albion has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against West Bromwich Albion?
Derby County has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between West Bromwich Albion - Derby County were as follows:
12.08.2025
West Bromwich Albion
-
Derby County
1:2
21.04.2025
West Bromwich Albion
-
Derby County
1:3
26.12.2024
Derby County
-
West Bromwich Albion
2:1
23.08.2022
Derby County
-
West Bromwich Albion
1:0
Latest results of West Bromwich Albion
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 19 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Leicester | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Preston | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Stoke | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Bristol City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Watford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Swansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Hull | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Southampton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:20 | -12 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
