West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Football English League Championship West Bromwich Albion - Derby County
Result
1:3
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 44
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandV Sport 2, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.88
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (480/545)62% (134/216)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.082.53
Total shots
135
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1514
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
88% (480/545)62% (134/216)
Long passes
54% (29/54)27% (17/62)
Passes in final third
78% (99/127)49% (39/79)
Crosses
19% (6/31)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.27
Fouls
1012
Tackles
64% (7/11)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5341
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
2.531.08
Goals prevented
-0.470.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Adams E. ⚽, Harness M. (A),
  • 10', Harness M. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Yates J. ⚽, Clarke M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Fellows T. 🟨,
  • 63', Holgate M. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
  • 63', Johnston M. ↓, Dike D. ↑,
  • 63', Furlong D. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
  • 64', Lankshear W. ↓, Grant K. ↑,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Armstrong A. ⚽, Diangana G. (A),
  • 79', Diakite O. ↓, Mowatt A. ↑,
  • 81', Harness M. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
  • 87', Yates J. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Mendez-Laing N. ⚽,
  • 90+4', Phillips N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


West Bromwich Albion
47.6%		Draw
29.3%		Derby County
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 24.1% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 24.2% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Bromwich Albion's form might have worsened.
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Bromwich Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    West Bromwich Albion - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2 ↑
    (1.63)    		 3.24 ↓
    (3.92)    		 4.12 ↓
    (5.25)    		 5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for West Bromwich Albion - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Derby will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 43.5% – 83.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): West Bromwich Albion will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 21).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches West Bromwich won 1.
    • West Bromwich is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match West Bromwich is a favorite.
    • There will not play in West Bromwich: Maja J. (Calf Injury) Styles C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Nyambe R. (Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in West Bromwich: Ajayi S. (Hamstring Injury) Bany T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Elder C. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mendez-Laing N. (Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches West Bromwich won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:14 (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams West Bromwich won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between West Bromwich Albion - Derby County were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 2:1
    23.08.2022 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:0
    Latest results of West Bromwich Albion
    18.04.2025 Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion 2:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Watford 2:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion 2:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland 0:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Derby County
    18.04.2025 Derby County - Luton Town 0:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Portsmouth - Derby County 2:2 ✺
    08.04.2025 Derby County - Burnley 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Swansea City - Derby County 1:0 ✺
    02.04.2025 Derby County - Preston North End 2:0 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham00000:000
    2Blackburn00000:000
    3Derby00000:000
    4Middlesbrough00000:000
    5Portsmouth00000:000
    6Bristol City00000:000
    7Charlton00000:000
    8Coventry00000:000
    9Hull00000:000
    10Ipswich00000:000
    11Leicester00000:000
    12Norwich00000:000
    13Preston00000:000
    14QPR00000:000
    15Sheffield Utd00000:000
    16Sheffield Wed00000:000
    17Southampton00000:000
    18Stoke00000:000
    19Watford00000:000
    20West Brom00000:000
    21Millwall00000:000
    22Swansea00000:000
    23Wrexham00000:000
    24Oxford Utd00000:000

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