Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 29
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 7 |
Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Turkey | Exxen |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (369/441) | 76% (239/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (369/441) | 76% (239/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 28% (15/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (57/78) | 54% (41/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Grant K. 🟨,
- 8', Grant K. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
- 40', Heggebo A. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Agyemang P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Molumby J. 🟨,
- 59', Travis L. 🟨,
- 61', Johnston M. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
- 61', Styles C. ↓, Dike D. ↑,
- 61', Heggebo A. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
- 63', Ozoh D. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 64', Brewster R. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
- 64', Clark B. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
- 74', Bielik K. ↓, Mepham C. ↑,
- 83', Elder C. 🟨,
- 85', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Sanderson D. ↑,
- 85', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Mepham C. ⚽, Molumby J. (A),
Chances of winning
Derby County 36.9% | Draw 29.8% | West Bromwich Albion 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Derby County - West Bromwich Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.56 ↓ (2.7) |
3.17 ↑ (3.15) |
2.85 ↑ (2.7) |
5.8% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - West Bromwich Albion?
Users Predictions:
52 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 41 - 78.8%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 7 - 13.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 67.7% – 89.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Derby (1.85) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Derby (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Derby (1.90) (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Derby (5.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 48 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 44 - 91.7%). West Bromwich (votes: 4 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 5.
- Derby has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- West Bromwich is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Derby: Clarke M.
(Red Card)
Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morris C.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in West Bromwich: Diakite O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Batth D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Derby won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against West Bromwich Albion?
Derby County has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has West Bromwich Albion won against Derby County?
West Bromwich Albion has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - West Bromwich Albion were as follows:
13.09.2025
West Bromwich Albion
-
Derby County
0:1
12.08.2025
West Bromwich Albion
-
Derby County
1:2
21.04.2025
West Bromwich Albion
-
Derby County
1:3
26.12.2024
Derby County
-
West Bromwich Albion
2:1
23.08.2022
Derby County
-
West Bromwich Albion
1:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One