Result
1:2 penalties
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (434/482) | 83% (343/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (434/482) | 83% (343/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 46% (31/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (113/141) | 57% (36/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Elder C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Campbell G. 🟨,
- 56', Weimann A. 🟨,
- 63', Clark B. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
- 63', Ozoh D. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
- 63', Weimann A. ↓, Wheeldon L. ↑,
- 63', Sanderson D. ↓, Batth D. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Heggebo A. ⚽, Price I. (A),
- 69', Fellows T. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
- 70', Brown D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 79', Price I. ↓, Molumby J. ↑,
- 79', Heggebo A. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
- 83', Adams E. 🟨,
- 87', Johnston M. ↓, Grant K. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Ward J. ⚽,
- Penalties (2 - 3)
- 1, Goudmijn K. (Pen),
- 1, Wallace J. (Pen),
- 2, Osborn B. (Pen),
- 2, Maja J. (Pen),
- 3, Jackson K. (Pen),
- 3, Mowatt A. (Pen),
- 4, Ward J. (Pen),
- 4, Molumby J. (Pen),
- 5, Adams E. (Pen),
- 5, Grant K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
West Bromwich Albion
52.6% | Draw
26.6% | Derby County
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in West Bromwich Albion's performance.Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
West Bromwich Albion - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.05) |
3.55 ↑
(3.33) |
4.51 ↑
(3.55) |
4.9%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for West Bromwich Albion - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 60.6% – 97.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Derby (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Derby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Derby has had a series of away games.
- West Bromwich is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has West Bromwich Albion won against Derby County?
West Bromwich Albion has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against West Bromwich Albion?
Derby County has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between West Bromwich Albion - Derby County were as follows:
21.04.2025
West Bromwich Albion
-
Derby County
1:3
26.12.2024
Derby County
-
West Bromwich Albion
2:1
23.08.2022
Derby County
-
West Bromwich Albion
1:0
Latest results of West Bromwich Albion
Latest results of Derby County
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 8 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 11 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 13 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 16 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Everton | Bye | |
| 18 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 20 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 21 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 22 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 23 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 24 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 26 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 29 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 33 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 35 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 37 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 38 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 39 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 40 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 41 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 42 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 43 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
| 45 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Brentford | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | |
| 2 | Accrington | Doncaster | |
| 3 | Burton | Lincoln | |
| 4 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | |
| 5 | Preston | Wrexham | |
| 6 | Wigan | Stockport County | |
| 7 | Stoke | Bradford City | |
| 8 | Burnley | Derby | |
| 9 | Everton | Mansfield | |
| 10 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | |
| 11 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | |
| 12 | Fulham | Bristol City | |
| 13 | Norwich | Southampton | |
| 14 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | |
| 15 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | |
| 16 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | |
| 17 | Millwall | Coventry | |
| 18 | Wolves | West Ham | |
| 19 | Barnsley | Rotherham | |
| 20 | Swansea | Plymouth | |
| 21 | Bromley | Wycombe | |
| 22 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | |
| 23 | Bournemouth | Brentford | |
