Result
1:2
31/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Carreras Arino G. ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, Issakhi Y. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 2, Barron J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Deusto
39.4% | Draw
30.4% | Derio
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Deusto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Deusto - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.3) |
2.99 ↑
(2.99) |
3 ↑
(3) |
10%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deusto - Derio?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deusto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Derio?
Deusto has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Deusto?
Derio has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deusto - Derio were as follows:
21.09.2025
Derio
-
Deusto
1:1
08.02.2025
Deusto
-
Derio
1:2
28.09.2024
Derio
-
Deusto
2:3
01.05.2024
Deusto
-
Derio
1:0
07.01.2024
Derio
-
Deusto
1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
