Result
2:1
03/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 9
- Referee: Doyle N. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 United-kingdom | Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 46% (107/231) | 72% (298/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 46% (107/231) | 72% (298/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (15/68) | 33% (22/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (52/117) | 64% (91/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 39% (7/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -1.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Hurley D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Markey D. ↓, Winchester C. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽, Fleming B. (A),
- 65', Keohane J. ↓, McCarthy E. ↑,
- 65', Barratt C. ↓, Wolfe M. ↑,
- 80', Twardek K. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
- 80', Walsh S. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Pierrot F. ⚽, Wolfe M. (A),
- 83', Cotter B. ↓, Barr C. ↑,
- 83', Akinyemi D. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 86', Parker A. ↓, Williams W. ↑,
- 90+6', Hurley D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Galway United
33.5% | Draw
31.9% | Derry City
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galway United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galway United's performance.Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derry City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galway United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derry City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Galway United - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↓
(3.3) |
2.94 ↓
(3.22) |
2.71 ↑
(2.18) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Galway United - Derry City?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Galway United will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Derry will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galway United: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 1.
- Recent form of Galway United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derry has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Derry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Galway United: McGuinness D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Derry: Boyce L.
(Inactive)
Maher B.
(Inactive)
Slevin R.
(Inactive)
Winchester C.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Galway United won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Galway United won against Derry City?
Galway United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Galway United?
Derry City has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galway United - Derry City were as follows:
22.08.2025
Galway United
-
Derry City
1:2
13.06.2025
Derry City
-
Galway United
1:1
18.04.2025
Galway United
-
Derry City
2:3
07.03.2025
Derry City
-
Galway United
1:1
30.08.2024
Galway United
-
Derry City
1:0
Latest results of Galway United
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 20:15 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Galway | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Derry City | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Waterford | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
