Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 34
- Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (236/362) | 68% (212/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (236/362) | 68% (212/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (29/81) | 35% (25/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (88/158) | 66% (84/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (13/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', Winchester C. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Lonergan T. ⚽, Amond P. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Whyte G. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
- 37', Horton G. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 2, Duffy M. ⚽, Whyte G. (A),
- 44', Radkowski K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Olayinka J. 🟨,
- 55', Winchester C. ↓, Dummigan C. ↑,
- 68', Olayinka J. ↓, Glenfield S. ↑,
- 72', Stott J. 🟨,
- 72', Fleming B. ↓, Todd S. ↑,
- 72', Whyte G. ↓, Frizzell A. ↑,
- 74', Cann H. 🟨,
- 75', Radkowski K. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
- 81', Duffy M. 🟨,
- 81', McMenamy D. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
- 82', Todd S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Waterford United
33.4% | Draw
28.8% | Derry City
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Waterford United - Derry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↓
(4.12) |
3.46 ↓
(3.56) |
2.79 ↑
(1.83) |
-1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Waterford United - Derry City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Waterford (votes: 1 - 50%). Derry (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Derry City will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 2.
- Recent form of Waterford has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derry is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Derry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Derry: Akinyemi D.
(Injury)
Bannon A.
(Injury)
Boyce L.
(Knee Injury)
Diallo S.
(Yellow Cards)
Doherty B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derry: Winchester C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:40. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against Derry City?
Waterford United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Waterford United?
Derry City has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford United - Derry City were as follows:
04.07.2025
Derry City
-
Waterford United
7:2
25.04.2025
Waterford United
-
Derry City
2:1
28.02.2025
Derry City
-
Waterford United
1:2
23.08.2024
Waterford United
-
Derry City
0:1
03.06.2024
Derry City
-
Waterford United
3:0
Latest results of Waterford United
Latest results of Derry City
Irish Premier Division Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 56:33 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Derry City | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:39 | 13 | 63 |
| 3 | Shelbourne | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 48:37 | 11 | 59 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 48:39 | 9 | 54 |
| 5 | St. Patricks | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 42:32 | 10 | 52 |
| 6 | Drogheda | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 38:38 | 0 | 51 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 42:54 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 | Galway | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 39 |
| 9 | Waterford | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 41:60 | -19 | 39 |
| 10 | Cork City | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 33:61 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
