Result
7:2
04/07/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 23
- Referee: McMaster B. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (476/558) | 68% (191/279) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.52 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (476/558) | 68% (191/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (47/73) | 20% (12/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (89/119) | 38% (27/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 3.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.52 | -3.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Boyce L. ⚽, Whyte G. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Boyce L. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
- 36', 3 - 0, Diallo S. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
- 41', 4 - 0, Connolly M. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
- 42', Lonergan T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 49', 4 - 1, Amond P. ⚽,
- 50', Holt K. 🟨,
- 52', 5 - 1, Duffy M. ⚽, Whyte G. (A),
- 57', 6 - 1, Boyce L. ⚽, Whyte G. (A),
- 59', Glenfield S. 🟨,
- 63', Olayinka J. ↓, White K. ↑,
- 63', Glenfield S. ↓, Mansfield R. ↑,
- 64', Burke R. ↓, Dempsey J. ↑,
- 64', Lonergan T. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
- 64', Boyce L. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 73', 7 - 1, Whyte G. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
- 74', Holt K. ↓, Ferguson S. ↑,
- 74', Whyte G. ↓, O'Reilly A. ↑,
- 74', Winchester C. ↓, Frizzell A. ↑,
- 77', McDonald R. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
- 77', Duffy M. ↓, Benson R. ↑,
- 79', 7 - 2, Amond P. ⚽, Noonan C. (A),
- 79', Todd S. 🟨,
- 85', Mullen D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derry City
61% | Draw
23.4% | Waterford United
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Derry City - Waterford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.59) |
3.95 ↓
(3.98) |
5.89 ↑
(5.69) |
7.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Derry City - Waterford United?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). Waterford will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 63.8% – 92.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derry City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
- Derry is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Waterford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Derry is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Waterford United?
Derry City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against Derry City?
Waterford United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Waterford United were as follows:
25.04.2025
Waterford United
-
Derry City
2:1
28.02.2025
Derry City
-
Waterford United
1:2
23.08.2024
Waterford United
-
Derry City
0:1
03.06.2024
Derry City
-
Waterford United
3:0
26.04.2024
Waterford United
-
Derry City
0:2
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Waterford United
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:23 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 42 |
| 3 | Derry City | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | St. Patricks | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Waterford | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 33 |
| 8 | Galway | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
| 10 | Cork City | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
