Result
1:1
15/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (280/340) | 87% (403/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (280/340) | 87% (403/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 42% (15/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (52/79) | 71% (86/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 40% (2/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Pedro Becker ⚽, Conway E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Wiedt S. ↓, Yamazaki H. ↑,
- 46', Chapman J. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 62', Diop A. ↓, Cedeno J. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Smith D. ⚽, Hernandez-Foster K. (A),
- 67', Pedro Becker 🟨,
- 68', Diouf A. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
- 80', Perez L. 🟨,
- 80', Pedro Becker ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
- 85', Perez L. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
- 87', Villanueva A. ↓, Guenzatti S. ↑,
- 89', Sundstrom F. ↓, Craig P. ↑,
- 90+3', Cedeno J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
North Carolina
42.9% | Draw
28.9% | Detroit City
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
North Carolina - Detroit City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2) |
3.2 ↓
(3.3) |
3.27 ↓
(3.62) |
8.3%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- North Carolina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, North Carolina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Detroit City?
North Carolina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Detroit City won against North Carolina?
Detroit City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Detroit City were as follows:
19.07.2024
North Carolina
-
Detroit City
1:1
06.04.2024
Detroit City
-
North Carolina
1:0
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of Detroit City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
